Wednesday 23rd of January 2019

christmas in july (may actually)...


They started calling the 2018 federal budget a pre-election budget weeks ago.

That hasn't been based on any inside information or actual leaks.

Compared to many previous budgets, very little of Scott Morrison's third budget has leaked.

Sure, there have been plenty of strategic "drop" announcements. And there was even the not-so-strategic Santa outing by Nationals leader Michael McCormack.

But what has made commentators so confident Scott Morrison will hand down a "pre-election" budget this year is not the expectation that a federal election is imminent but budget mathematics — and political reality.

The shifting rules of budgets

For the past two or three years, it was clear that, around now, the Government would be compelled to give us all a tax cut. It was certain, as Andrew Peacock once famously said, as night follows day

And it is all thanks to a rule about government revenue as a proportion of GDP. The Government declared early on that revenue as a proportion of the economy would never rise above 23.9 per cent of GDP.


Read more:

spend your cash if you're a baby boomer...

Disappointing': Young people to be poorer than parents

'The whole system of income and taxes has been changed to offer baby boomers advantages at the expense of their kids.'


  • by Jessica Irvine

Blaming baby boomers is a great pass-time...