Friday 26th of April 2024

stupidity of the stock market...

stupid stocks

Markets live and die on rumours - as the interchangeable saying goes "buy on the rumour, sell on the fact".

However, what happened on Wall Street around three hours before the close of trade (3:08am Sydney time) shows how sensitive markets are to rumours that now abound on social media outlets such as Twitter.

A report on a Twitter account managed by The Associated Press wire service said there had been explosions at the White House and that President Obama had been injured.

Investors, clearly sensitive after last week's bombings in Boston, appear to have sold on an unverified report from a reputable source that terrorism had struck again.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-04-24/fake-tweet-dive-exposes-market-vulnerability/4648086

The article is named "Fake tweet dive exposes market vulnerability..." I call it STUPIDITY... Of course the article ends up blaming computers that are earmarked to certain algorithms - rather than to a human "emotion". These computers may be responsible for the morning's sell-off when the fake AP tweet was retweeted around the world. Well let me say that some humans programmed these duds...

The snowball effect, where unverified reports and rumours are often aired without normal checks and balances, shows the world's exposure to social media.

Hello ? Anyone here? Or there?... About three months ago, Aussie newspapers reported something about the ANZ bank not financing something or rather via  AN OBVIOUSLY FAKE EMAIL... The stocks took a plunge like one of Gus' former models plane (that now have been renamed in the USA, as drones since they can spy on you and throw bombs as well)... It was sticks and stock soup on the ground...

Now the tweetering Tweeterland has come of age... Congratulation to the "social media"...

women and children first...

We must desensitise the markets against tragedy and terror so that the next time we hear that the White House is exploding, they don't freak out, writes Ben Pobjie.


We live in dangerous times. Peril stalks us at every turn. Our way of life, indeed our lives themselves, are constantly threatened, by war, by terrorism, by climate change, by disease-carrying bats and rogue crocodiles. And now there is a new enemy we must face with all the bravery we can muster: Twitter hackers.


Like all of you I was incredibly distressed when I found out that hackers had seized control of the AP Twitter account and tweeted about a fictional attack on the White House, but I was even more distressed when I found out that it had thrown financial markets into turmoil. That's going beyond a joke. That is striking at the very heart of what makes us human: stocks.


...


The markets are the foundation of all we hold dear. Without markets we won't have capitalism or Boxing Day sales or sunshine or morality. Without markets everyone would starve and Christine Milne would be smug. Without markets iPads wouldn't even turn on.


That's why we must safeguard them, inure them, vaccinate them against wussiness, so that next time we hear that the White House is exploding, we can relax in the knowledge that nothing really important is at stake.


Ben Pobjie is a writer, comedian and poet with no journalistic qualifications whatsoever. View his full profile...

 

http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/4653098.html

another familiarly strange week...

It's been another familiarly strange week on the markets.

The big "news" this week was either that Reserve Bank governor Glenn Stevens was joking or that he has a sense of humour. In any case, the now infamous six words that moved the currency markets – “deliberated for a very long time” – caused the Australian dollar to fall and ANZ to change its rates forecast (before changing it back), while other commentators waxed lyrical on exactly what Glenn Stevens meant.
Reading the tea leaves
In the wash-up, the verbal sextet in question was nothing more than a quip, and all was put right with the world.

While I'm sure many economists then indulged in behind-the-scenes hand wringing and one or two may have resorted to calling governor Stevens names behind his back, the episode really does expose the "tea leaf reading" for what it is.

Countless hours (and column inches) are devoted to trying to guess what each RBA statement might mean – how long or short the statement is and what words are added or removed when compared to previous statements.
To be fair, the RBA (and its international counterparts) do use such "jawboning" to guide the markets in one direction or another, so the tea leaf reading does have some relevance, but the process is far from perfect, and those trading on such assumptions really are gambling on what might (or might not) happen, as this week's kerfuffle showed.

Full of sound and fury
Meanwhile, equities markets as measured by the S&P/ASX200 have had another week of highs and lows thus far.
Monday's loss of 1.9 per cent was put into the shade by a 2.6 per cent gain on Tuesday. Not to be overshadowed, Wednesday brought us a second 1.9 per cent loss, before a 1.1 per cent gain on Thursday and another 0.9 per cent gain by this afternoon.

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/business/motley-fool/all-jokes-aside-markets-make-for-strange-brew-20130705-2pgi5.html#ixzz2Y9VZP100

a 2 second handy lead...

The University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index is one of the most trusted gauges of consumer sentiment, and its monthly release is followed closely by investors all over the globe.

Any single piece of information that can move markets on its own is going to be extremely valuable to Wall Street traders, especially if they can get their hands on that information before everyone else. That’s why some firms were reportedly willing to pay Thomson Reuters — the exclusive distributor of the University of Michigan survey — $6,000 per month in order to get their hands on the information a mere two seconds before other Thomson Reuters subscribers.

This two-minute advantage is of particular use to high-frequency trading firms, who use high-powered computers to make thousands of trades per minute, based on data piped in from various sources like Thomson Reuters. By the time these computerized traders have processed the data, much of the advantage the average investor could reap from the information has already been rung out of the market.



Read more: http://business.time.com/2013/07/09/the-most-profitable-two-seconds-on-wall-street/#ixzz2YY6lKkq3