Thursday 24th of October 2019

my unhealthy obsession...

possum

Note (27 Setember 2016): These articles were written about 4 years ago. Since then global warming has gone riot... Though many people still don't want to acknowledge the facts.  

(2012) On global warming issues, strangely, I feel quite alone and faced with formidable enemies... Actually I am faced with formidable enemies in both camps... The camp of the climate change alarmists is often filled with amateurish description of what climate change would bring, including Armageddon ... 

The denialist camp is getting smarter and is loaded with impressive personnel, as the list of scientists on The Australian Climate Science Coalition attests to. The ACSC is a serious sceptic outfit with powerful interaction with other denialist organisations, including the Heartland Institute and all are run with strong (if not wrong) convictions on the subject. I quote:

The Australian Climate Science Coalition, which works closely with the International Climate Science Coalition, was formed by a group of professional people interested in encouraging continued scientific research into the world’s climate and in particular into the effects of increased concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. We do not believe that past and current climates are sufficiently well understood to enable projections of future climate changes to be accurately predicted.  Our purpose is to exchange scientific ideas and to encourage proper political and social debate on this intriguing subject.

Scientific Advisory Panel (of the Australian Climate Science Coalition)
Dr John Nicol  Chairman * David Archibald * Professor Bob Carter * Dr David Evans  * Viv Forbes  * William Kininmonth  * John McLean  * Professor Cliff Ollier * Professor Ian Plimer * Dr Walter Starck * Dr Tom Quirk

The list of scientists and the mission statement are impressive... May be, I should give up now instead of trying to fight these super-heavy weights of knowledge while I have a degree in nothing — not even a Madame Zurba's clairvoyance school certificate in bullshit artistry... 

The Heartland institute may be the most aggressive with its anti-global warming articles — and quite acid on other issues such as education... One needs to peel the top veneer or thick skin to see where all this is coming from... Not so much from the carbon industries directly, but through various belief systems that may be funded by the carbon industry nonetheless, or rich people whose interests are in step with big carbon emissions ...
--------------------------

The mission statement for the International Climate Science Coalition says:

The ICSC is a non-partisan group of independent scientists, economists and energy and policy experts who are working to promote better understanding of climate science and policy worldwide. We aim to help create an environment in which a more rational, open discussion about climate issues emerges, thereby moving the debate away from implementation of costly and ineffectual “climate control” measures. Instead, ICSC encourages assisting vulnerable peoples to adapt to climate variability and continuing scientific research into the causes and impacts of climate change. ICSC also focuses on publicizing the repercussions of misguided plans to “solve the climate crisis”. This includes, but is not be limited to, the dangerous impacts of attempts to replace conventional energy sources with wind turbines, solar power, biofuels and other ineffective and expensive energy sources.
Here I smell a rat, The ICSC mission statement contradicts itself within two sentences from the fifth word... 

----------------------------
The mission statement for the Heartland Institute states:

The Heartland Institute is 'the world’s most prominent think tank promoting skepticism about man-made climate change.” 

— The Economist, May 26, 2012 


Heartland's Center on Climate and Environmental Policy produces an ambitious program of research and educational projects in defense of free-market environmentalism. It has assembled a team of leading scientists and economic experts to participate in the production of books, videos, a monthly public policy newspaper, events, and other public relations activities.

------------------------------

If some alarm carillon has not rung in your top loft, you are more naive than I thought... The Australian outfit is more restrained about its mission than the Heartland Institute, thus deemed more scientific and penetrating. I will add here that in the same manner as some "alarmist" are pumping bullshit into the debate, the denialists are also pumping gigantic ignorant whopper (unless they are deliberate plain porkies) into the counter-arguments...

One argument often raised in this debate is "scientific funding"... For example I will quote later from an article that attacks "peer reviews" in their funding and the need thereof...

The first argument presented is that Einstein theory of relativity was NEVER peer-reviewed though it is a masterpiece of lucid understanding. Thus end of story, no need for peer reviews... Fair enough I'd say should one be a genius... At the time of Einstein's writing, few scientists would have had the gall to challenge its brilliance, nor would they have had the counter-arguments to say boo. But in fact, Einstein was disbelieved in Germany and had to go the USA for acclaim...

The second argument is peer reviewed is often funded by "governments', thus the peer reviews would be slanted to go along with one point of view in order to get funding... I say bollocks to that, but then who am I? A cartoonist, for existential sake!

The other side of the coin resides in the funding of outfits such as the ICSC:

To date, the vast majority of donations to ICSC have come from private individuals in:


Canada, The United States of America, The United Kingdom, New Zealand, The Netherlands, Denmark, Australia
The identities of all donors are kept strictly confidential to protect their privacy and safety.Since its formation in 2007, ICSC has never received financial support from corporations, foundations or governments.While we welcome contributions from all sources, including corporations, foundations and government, and are actively soliciting support, ICSC operates as a non-partisan, worldview neutral entity, independent of political or commercial vested interests. We will not accept donations that are contingent on ICSC promoting a point of view in favour of, or against, any philosophical, political or commercial interest. If ICSC tried to influence the public statements made by the professors and other experts we work with, they would likely resign from our advisory bodies.
If the smell of sulphur has not entered your room, then you are a privately-funded vampire yourself... I notice the ICSC is getting zilch funding from Germany, China, France or Russia...
---------------------------

POLAR BEARS

One of the popular contentious points in the climate change debate has been Polar Bears... Big cuddly beasts that could take your head off in one bite... or take your heart out in one stroke of a claw... Yes, the alarmists point out that the bears are in danger of extinction due to global warming. The denialists point out to the increase in the bear "population"... So where's the reality? 

I could point out that they're both wrong and take the snooty middle of the road and leave it at this...

I will state here that I don't know but I know the dynamic of bear population are in a flux.

I will also add that serious research is being conducted in the Arctic about this conundrum and on the effect of man-made pollutants, such as synthetic oestrogen (yes! oestrogen!) and pesticides in that region's wildlife... One of the fair explanation for increase "population" is the numbers of bears seen closer to the Inuit settlements... Of course, those are killed by them for food and pelt, immediately reducing the population by a notch...

But one can also speculate that the Inuit live mostly on "solid" icy ground while the bears live mostly on the ice...  

As the ice gets thinner (which it does), the bears have less "ice-pack" to live upon and have to move onto more solid "grounds" — those usually are closer to where the Inuit live... thus giving a false image of the bear "population" while the ice-pack is getting deserted... 

I would like to add here too that the pelt of these bear is not white but "transparent". It has been speculated that these hairs are like fibre-optics, collectors of the weak light and heat from the feeble sun of these latitudes. The transparence of the hair transfer this heat to the black bear skin and the shorter curlier hairs act as a strong insulation blanket... It has been observed too that polar bears eat mostly the blubber from seals, rather than the "meat", so they themselves acquire fat to fight off the cold and build body reserves to hibernate.

One could add here that as the ice melts and the sea eventually warms up, more southerly fish species could move northward and help feed a growing number of seals themselves helping provide more food for the bears — but as the icy habitats of both the seals and the bear shrink, both "populations" become under added stress to find shelter and reproductive safe areas...

More debate to come... may I invite you to share all my articles on global warming on this site with your friends if you have any left... 

I am going to get these bastards...

I am only posting this to let you know that I am viciously working full bore to expose the denialists' bad faith and false arguments... As you might imagine, it's a Herculean task — like attacking a giant rubbish tip, armed with a toothpick to find a glimmer. So far, I have not been able to find anyone that has done it comprehensively in a manner that can be understood by mere mortals...  Bear with me...

Jo Nova — fiction writer...

 

dogshit

Dear reader...  I despair, yet I feel compelled to fight on. I despair as I incredulously note that someone who has a microbiology degree such as Jo Nova, peddles such crap as if it was scientific milk...

Is Nova a nut-case, did she flip a screw loose sometimes after having got her PhD, or did she suck so much at microbiology that she decided to con people and make money from rich denialists by claiming she knew what she was talking about in regard to global warming?...

Jo Nova's atrocious book "The Skeptics Handbook" (for kids?) is so full of gross inaccuracies and falsehoods that I believe either she is dumb or deliberately manipulative to suit her hidden carbon masters, if any... 

Here are some examples:
This refers on how to discuss global warming as in a "surgical strike": Her fiction is posted here in italics...
1: Stick to the four points that matter
There is only one question and four points worth discussing. Every time you allow the conversation to stray, you get stuck in a dead end and miss the chance to definitively expose the lack of evidence that carbon is “bad.”

Gus: this says a lot about Nova's bully tactics... Should someone mentions something that adds something that is contrary to one's "belief", one has to bring back the conversation back in its narrow framework... Quite religiously fanatical, don't you think?... No scientist say that carbon is bad.  Life depends on carbon. But carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is a "greenhouse" gas and, as the level of CO2 climbs, so does the temperature... That relationship is defining global warming at present — after all other influence on atmospheric temperature have been accounted for.


2: Ask questions
Non-believers don't have to prove anything. Skeptics are not asking the world for money or power. Believers need to explain their case, so let them do the talking. As long as the question you asked doesn’t get resolved, repeat it.

Gus: in fact, most  people who control power and money are non-believers (skeptics) about global warming. These people don't "have to ask for it"... But it is in their interest to belittle global warming, as the reality of it is likely to make a dent in their long held belief they can rape the environment for a buck and burn carbon without any consequences.

3: Greenhouse and global warming are different
Don’t let people confuse global warming with greenhouse gases. Mixing these two different topics has confounded the debate. Proof of global warming is not proof that greenhouse gases caused that warming.

Gus: There is no "proof of anything", except there is a strong relationship between global heat and the gaseous mix, influenced by "proportions" of greenhouse gases and cooling gases. There are other influences on global climate than the gaseous mix (see my other paper on this subject).
Presently AFTER  having taken into account all the other factors, all global warming computer models show the greenhouse gases are the main culprits.

4: Deal with the bully-boy
It’s entirely reasonable to ask for evidence. If you are met with dismissive, intimidatory, or bullying behavior, don’t ignore it. Ask them why they’re sacrosanct. Dogma belongs in religions.

Gus: of course, I could not agree more, including the dogma in Jo Nova's own religion, which is based on falsehoods...

---------------------------------------

So Jo Nova goes on with some incredible porkies and twists of bacon that a sow would loose her kittens in...

The only 4 points that matter

1 The greenhouse signature is missing.
Weather balloons have scanned the skies for years but can find no sign of the telltale "hot  spot” warming pattern that greenhouse gases would leave. There’s not even a hint.Something else caused the warming.

Gus: At least Nova accepts that there is warming of the planet... because it's undeniable despite arguing wrongly and contradicting herself quite often in claiming that warming stopped a while ago or never happened... One could get confused, but what are the telltales "hot spots" that she's talking about? 

In 2008, by measuring changes in winds, rather than relying upon problematic temperature measurements, Robert J. Allen and Steven C. Sherwood of the Department of Geology and Geophysics at Yale estimated the atmospheric temperatures near 10 km in the Tropics rose about 0.65 degrees Celsius per decade since 1970—probably the fastest warming rate anywhere in Earth's atmosphere. The temperature increase is in line with predictions of global warming models.

2 The strongest evidence was the ice cores, but newer, more detailed, data turned the theory inside out.
Instead of carbon pushing up temperatures, for the last half-a-million years temperature have gone up before carbon dioxide levels. On average 800 years before. This totally threw what we thought was cause and effect out of the window.
Something else caused the warming.

Gus: This stupid statement is based on Nova's short-sighted analysis of the Vostok Ice Cores. She says: On average CO2 rises and falls hundreds of years after temperature does.
nova's diagram


Nova's simpleton interpretation of this incomplete data between 150,000 and 100,000 years ago, without addressing the complete gaseous mix nor other factors shows she's no scientist's bootlace.
For example, an increase of CO2 in the atmosphere in a "normal carbon cycle" (with no EXTRA carbon from fossil fuels) would indicate VERY different changes in the photosynthesis equation and other conditions compare to those of the present time... One could also presume, say that the relationship between the oceans, the water vapours, the plants and the animals would be at a different level of interaction than now. let's say for instance that the mega-fauna (now extinct) is exhaling more CO2 and METHANE while eating a lot of plants...
As well, Nova superimposed in the SAME graph, the temperatures and the ppms... This of course gives a false impression, especially since she arbitrarily chose her starting point at 160 ppms for CO2. if you don't know what I'm talking about, wake up... Below is the Vostok data (temperature and CO2) as it should be looked at scientifically:
Vostok 2


Now when one looks deeper into the Vostok records, one can see some anomalies which Nova has superimposed for a specific period she uses as her coup-de-grace argument. But in general, the Vostok record shows A STRONG RELATIONSHIP between rises and falls of temperature in step with CO2, but for these few anomalies... Thus one has to ask, Why?...  Fair enough.. But the Vostok record also includes the DUST PARTICLE record — a record which Nova conveniently ignored...  Thus we soon can see that when temperature were falling and the CO2 levels were still remaining high, the dust level had INCREASED quite a lot, a factor that despite the amount of CO2 would have induced temperature drop — by dimming. Below is the Vostok data including the dust particle record... which does not include the water vapours levels, nor the O2 levels of the time either... Both would have an effect on the temperatures as well as CO2...

VOSTOK 3



3 Temperatures are not rising.
Satellites circling the planet twice a day show that the world has not warmed since 2001. How many more years of NO global warming will it take? While temperature have been flat, CO2 has been rising, BUT something else has changed the trend. The computer models don’t know what it is.

Gus: one factor of the "change hold up" in the recent trend has been La Nina (a global cooling climatic event) which HAS NOT made any dent in dropping the global temperatures anyway — a drop being observed on previous La Nina occasions.
Another factor has been the sun quiet eleven year phase from which we are barely emerging... This has affected the heat in the thermosphere substantially, reducing its temperature by about 400 degrees (sunny side)... Meanwhile despite what Nova says, six of the ten warmest years on record have happened in the last decade. 

4 Carbon dioxide is already doing almost all the warming it can do.
Adding twice the CO doesn’t make twice the difference. The first CO2 molecules matter a lot, but extra ones have less effect. In fact, carbon levels were ten times as high in the past but the world still slipped into an ice. Carbon today is a bit-part player...

Gus: what a lot of codswallop. what she's talking about here is the difference between a full fizzy and a flat champagne... There is a might of difference. The atmosphere is not "saturated" with CO2... and CO2 strongly influences the behaviour of water vapour as well. This is her strange admission that CO2 IS A WARMING GAS despite her denying such.
I have already tackled the subject of CO2 being "ten times as high in the past"....
I believe Nova refers to one of Lord Monckton's glorious babies here... His grand claim to fame has been to mention an event of which there is little known and for which the bad lord composts some uneducated guesses into firm religious dogma... Apparently there was an event about 700 millions years ago (life on land had not happened yet) when CO2 went sky high (about ten time the level of today) yet the temperatures dropped and the Earth got nearly covered entirely with an ice sheet... As I mentioned before, we have to know the complete gaseous mix and the air-born particle ratio of the time to make a reasonable statement. I believe that this record is so tenebrous that it is silly to form an opinion in relation to today's precisely known conditions.

For example, one could assume that then there was about half the photosynthesis since there was NO PLANTS on the planet. Should there have been a higher level of oxygen at the same time as well as a particle cover due to some volcanic activity, this would have led to reduced evaporation and less water vapour in the atmosphere. We know that water vapour is one of the main greenhouse gases, thus DESPITE high levels of CO2, the temperatures would have dropped substantially.
Simple really.

I believe Nova is a disingenuous scientist and a danger to humanity. Lord Monckton is an idiot.

 

more unhappy polar bears...

SEA ice in the Arctic was melting at a record pace last month, according to the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre.

Measurements taken on June 18 showed the area containing sea ice had shrunk to 10.62 million square kilometres, about 31,000 square kilometres lower than the previous record for that day, set in in 2010.

The rate of melt slowed slightly later in the month, so it is not yet clear whether this year's melt will challenge 2007, the year in which sea ice reached its lowest extent since instrumental records began.

''Early melt onset, and clear skies near the solstice are favourable conditions for more rapid melting, and warming of the ocean in open water areas,'' the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre said in its report.

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/heat-rises-over-record-sea-ice-melt-in-arctic-20120701-21b41.html#ixzz1zRR2miEh
This is the most important news today and tomorrow. This news defines the future we leave to the planet... We are careless. Tony Abbott is an idiot...

heatwave...

In One Kansas Town, Even Hotter Than Usual


By

HILL CITY, Kan. — This town on the parched plains, best known for its bountiful pheasant hunting and museum of oil history, recently earned a new, if unwelcome, distinction — the center of America’s summer inferno.

For five days last week, a brutal heat wave here crested at 115 degrees. Crops wilted. Streets emptied. Farmers fainted in the fields. Air-conditioners gave up. Children even temporarily abandoned the municipal swimming pool. Hill City was, for a spell, in the ranks of the hottest spots in the country.

“Hell, it’s the hottest place on earth,” Allen Trexler, an 81-year-old farmer who introduced himself as Old Man Trexler. He spoke while standing in the shade of a tree on Saturday morning, the temperature already sneaking toward 100.

Across the country, it is the same, sweaty story. On Sunday, two million people across the mid-Atlantic were left stewing in nearly 100-degree heat with no electricity after deadly thunderstorms toppled trees and power lines. Officials warned that the high heat could fuel more severe thunderstorms this week.

“There is a significant risk of additional storms that could lead to additional outages, so there is a possibility that the situation could deteriorate in the coming days,” Gov. Bob McDonnell of Virginia said during a conference call with reporters. “This is going to be a multiday recovery event with dangerously high heat, so everyone needs to remain vigilant.”

Utility companies said it might take a week to restore power completely in some places.

Officials throughout the region opened air-conditioned libraries and community centers to provide some relief for residents without power. Grocery stores reported runs on ice, water and nonperishable foods. Harris Teeter, a regional grocery chain, quickly went through 25,000 bags of free ice it was dispensing at stores in Northern Virginia and Maryland.

In parts of Georgia and Tennessee, the air quality was so bad over the weekend that officials scrapped their Code Red warnings and dubbed the steamy haze a Code Purple, signaling very unhealthy air.

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/02/us/kansas-town-stuggles-to-deal-with-115-degrees.html?_r=1&hp&pagewanted=print

 

the battle with conservative denialism...

There is a very powerful network of conservative information — websites, journals and spruikers — all working hard to promote the denial of global warming, while bashing the science, day in day out...

 

In this framework, science is not for scientists but for industrialists, gold-watch makers, oil cartels, car makers, miners of coal and iron ore, and developers — and can I mention many lawyers... All of them jovially compete with each other for your small buck and use you as slaves at the same time — because you are prisoners of comforts, including the clutches of credit... 

 


These conservative outfits are well equipped. Pure science — such as the science associated with global warming that produces contrary results to the endless capitalistic dream — is thus evil, and promoted as such as much as possible. 
This promotion, frothed up deep in conservative circles, is deliberately transferred onto the average uneducated punter by maintaining an apparently serious debate that floods the market with doubt of the science. In the end it's quite easy to deny something that we cannot see — or something that is measure in tiny parts per millions or in 0,03 variable increments — measurements that mean zilch to the common man (I use the word "man" here because most of the battles in regard to global warming are fought out by men, apart from the leader of the "abominable" greens and their carrot cakes. I don't mean this but this is the thought that underpins conservative thinking).
The stock market is far more important and exciting than CO2 fluctuations in the atmosphere... There is no money to be made on the CO2 levels, but mostly there is no possible gamble on the climate to be had between gentlemen at the gentlemen's club. Not even the best computer and super whiz weather forecaster can tell you what the weather will exactly be in three days time... 

The Liberal (conservative) use the commercial media — which most of them, the conservatives, own or control — a media overrun with fat lazy journalists, with scientifically ignorant opinionators, with newly graduated conservative journalists barely out of university who believe their work is done when republishing a press release with their own by-line on a front page — and by spruikers who are paid in golden bullions for spreading false information... And doubt... Let's not forget the doubt... The reasonable and truly investigative journalists are also obliged to be of "balanced" views, thus giving the denialists still another half-voice...

As well, conservative forces make sure that even the national broadcaster, bound by "ethics", has to be balanced, thus has to present the doubt and the rubbish about climate change in the same amount as the 99 per cent of the scientists who know their boring, yet very accurate stuff. One has to know that emotions have always been more creative of beliefs than understanding... And the emotions on both side of the fence stirred by the denialists induce the battle of beliefs rather than the understanding of reality... This of course is the result the conservatives want.

Thus from the onset we are drowning in this sea of misinformation and doubt — and serious scientists have little voice outside there sphere of research. Even there they are constantly under attack. Scientists always doubt what they do... It is the nature of science to know more precisely and question in a world of statistical anomalies and reactive chemistry. 
Even scientists and theorists always try to disprove (or improve upon) the theory of relativity by Einstein — touted by denialists as a brilliant glorious non-peer reviewed theory — while most conservatives would have no clue about the mathematics nor the meanings of this theory... It's just a historically-held promotionally ingrained belief that bamboozled them since they were kids, yet should Einstein be alive today and promote global warming theory he would be hit by a ton of bricks...

The conservative themselves have their own intense and purposely driven information network.
The Quadrant for example is a one-sided Liberal (conservative) intellectual magazine representing a think-tank that will pan anything that has a whiff of social conscience if it means human equity — in opposition to financial "equity" — a term which relates to ways to invest money with better return and lower tax rates, than equality for all... The Quadrant has not a skerrick of any acknowledgement of Aboriginal worth nor of Aboriginal independence of thoughts, outside the subservient framework decided by the white shoe brigade — or complete assimilation. It is the place where the Keith Whindshuttles of this world write elegantly in subtle undertones about the glory of white Australia. It is the place where "global warming is crap" is written in elegant literary manner without raising the voice. which would be impolite... There too, "renewable" energy is front-ended with a mining caterpillar truck and is being blamed for an "unecessary" rapidly rising electricity cost to consumer ... 

One of the conservative trick is to associate "quality" with conservatism... This is not new in the exclusivity domain of the rich, where if one can afford it, one will acquire the best car available — some for show, some for speed, but this "conservative-quality" association is now penetrating the "mass" market... Even people such as David Flint will blame the fall of Fairfax squarely on its "liberalism" — that is to say not having been conservative enough because "conservatism is where quality resides"... It's a very underhanded and significant but sophistical argument... meaning that it is totally meaningless in a full context.

There is the Australian Conservative — another well-linked Liberal (conservative) outfit that publishes without any critique, all of Abbott's uttering as if it was golden river. These magazines of course are created for the benefit of "leaders", of capitalists, of money men and conservative decision makers who own stuff — you included... We are looking at the high end of town — the pharaohs and their courts of our time.
Even on Sundays, when time is dedicated to relaxation while reading the Financial Review (a red-rag to these high powered men barely reading about what others lesser financial beings think) and to the commiseration about the Labor Carbon Tax — which of course their saviour Tony Abbott will repeal while giving them the tax cuts they so richly deserve on resurrection day after the next elections— the shorts and the T-shirts are unblemished cream designers brands pressed to perfection...
Strangely, more often than not, the sausages and the meat, cooked on the most expensive Webber one can find set in a corner of the marble patio, under the perfectly umbraged veranda — are often the cheapest cuts.

To these rich conservative, a Labor government is total anathema... The conservatives are born to rule, thus democracy is anathema too. But they cleverly know how to manipulate the mood of the proletariat by turning the proletariat against itself... They know they can tickle the fancy of poor struggling individuals by promises of gold — fool's gold as it may be — but the trick works, when the words are falling from conservative politicians's mouths as well...

Then there is the CO2 Climate Scientific, another conservative outfit dedicated to damage the established science in Australia by claiming to know better— while being mostly ignorant and highly manipulative. Its main targets include the Australian Academy of Sciences. The CO2 Climate Scientific writes columns after columns of pseudo-philosophical need for scientists to be doubtful (which most scientists are anyway — that's what science is about: questioning constantly and reviewing results) and also about government wasting money by giving grants for climate change research, which the writers of CO2 Climate Scientific point out will only produce the slanted desired results...
One has to admire the gall of the title of this outfit: In one line, one has "CO2", the controversial item at the centre of the debate about climate change, the word "Climate" (the controversial issue itself) and the world "Scientific" as to inform its readers that this outfit is a serious scientific unit — where science takes precedence — or in this case has the final say. But the CO2 Climate Scientific does not do any research, and only picks into the basket of denialists' slanted and false information to promote doubt about anthropomorphic climate change...  

One of the subtext, here lies in the psychology of how to promote and maintain happiness, by the destruction of "negative" thoughts... Thus the denialists attitude is deemed as a positive force designed to combat the "negative" effect of a problem which has the potential to stop us from burning carbon in a carbon-based rich economy... Burn baby burn.. Be happy...

The Friends of Science is another group reacting in a similar vein... "Friends of Science" What a name!... A very clever name for an outfit that basically promotes some "science" and pseudo-scientific views designed to defeat the global warming alarmists, with many a false argument and wrong data.

I have already mentioned The ACSC, where some of its principals have massive interest in mining and carbon intensive industries. I have also mentioned its association with the ICSC, a US based denialist outfit that does not hesitate to parallel global warming alarmists with murderers on large advertising panels.

Most of these published "magazines" or on the net are of course well presented to appear "at a serious most", while being scientifically illiterate at best and total garbage at worse... But to the capitalistic mind, these restrained graphics represent serenity, sunsets, peace, quality and seriousness of thoughts and the understated intrinsic value of money... I know the tricks, I worked in advertising for more than twenty years... 

Of course, the "business" people have their own "Woman's Day/weekly/Cosmo" magazine called BRW. It's where some of the rich and their lieutenant can shine and show there capitalistic skills such in investments, shares and financial wares — but little production is shown there... It's all all about the whizzes of the market... One has to go to specialist magazines, where engineers and other Liberal (conservative) professions such as developers can show off.

Any cent that is spend on welfare (public science is similar to welfare in the mind of conservatives) is resented as it comes out of taxes extracted painfully from their grand fortunes in the making — the leftover after they have managed to stash away the better part of it in "trusts" and "offshore accounts". Conservatives don't mind charity — especially when it's tax deductible and when one can meet like-minded persons at glossy functions with white tablecloths and full silver service...
One can outshine other rich bastards there by glorious bidding on a dinner for twelve with the leader of the opposition Tony Abbott or such.  Sure some of these charities will do-good as long as the poor don't get a cent of it, since most of the dosh raised goes to rich doctors doing research on the diseases of the rich, such as heart-attacks or obesity from rich food and/or the development of new drugs in which later investments in a company that buys the patent cheap will bring in riches....I am very unfair here as a lot of good is done for kids as well, but rarely at conservative charity events, poor kids of other countries are ever mentioned, unless a feat of medicine can be used as promotional material... 
So the Liberals (conservatives) don't really read the newspapers — They own them. Nor do they watch much "entertaining" television. They dine with the networks CEOs, mind you... In a sexist spray, I will indulge to tell you their wives do not read House and Gardens either, but they pluck the latest Mercedes or Cartier magazines to see what they could buy next in order to be up to date with the latest fashion. No, not the Dior fashion in Women's weekly for the plebes, but that fashion that is exclusively available to those with a black American Express Card and a 160 foot yacht in the Mediterranean.

Thus global warming is like an annoying fly they've been trying to swat for too long. Actually they don't do the swatting themselves. They delegate. That's the privilege of the rich. One can delegate. They delegate the swatting to the Alan Jones, the Janet Albrechtsen, the Andrew Bolt, and others down the food chain to whom they throw crumbs as long as the beneficiary does the job of denigrating the scientists... Or denigrate those annoying do-gooders who want to regulate gambling... Gambling of course is good, since the entire edifice of capitalism is anchored on gambling with peers. The CDSs and the Derivative markets are giant gambling pits. Most of the rich of course do not play with their own moneys, but yours and mine and that of many other little retired scrooges and penny pinchers — dollars and cents which when put together amounts to tidy sums. 

I have witnessed (by accident — I was in the wrong place at the wrong time) a mighty Liberal conference, once, where the white-shoe brigade  turned up in R M Williams creams and fine stripes, with brown leather belts coming from 2-ton cows. The ten gallon hats would have made Bob Katter blush with envy... 
Meanwhile as long as the real science and the Aborigines are kept at bay, one can sleep easy... People like Alan Jones are doing a wonderful job at that, but in order to appear righteous, they are also charitable to a fault... Look, the man brought Lord Monckton of Brenchley, a grand-master of scientific fudge... But is it fudge? That is the great swindle here, they don't really care one way or the other as long as the seeds of doubt are sowed to to all compass points... and as long that no one tells them where they can't dig. Of course conservatives are born to rule and in that hierarchy there are sub-networks of allegiances that sometimes can come undone... but this is another topic...

One of the major problem is to properly assess the damage done by "global warming" in proportion to the "normal" amount of natural disasters... For example, in the US this year, that country has experiences in the first six month about three to four times the normal amount of "natural disasters"... Is this due to "climate change"? One could ask this fair question... Of course there is an indication of climate change... But is this climate change linked in some way to human burning of carbon...?

There are scientific experiments that can tell us that CO2 is a moderate "greenhouse gas" by studying its absorption and scattering of some of the infrared spectrum of light. But is it enough to induce global warming? The denialists claim this is negligible. The denialists also claim that CO2 rise in the atmosphere is due to increase temperature and not the other way round. This view point is similar to saying that the sun rotates around the earth...

Methane is a strong "greenhouse gas" but it only exist for a limited time and in small quantity (increasing mind you) in the atmosphere. The denialists will claim that this is also negligible.

Water vapour is deemed a "greenhouse gas", but its behaviour is quite "erratic" due to air density, temperature, atmospheric pressure and quantity thereof. This is the province of meteorologist who predict the weather including long range weather. They have an array of precise instrumentation from thermometers to hygrometers and barometers... In some parts of the world like cities, they also have dust particle counters. Yet the weather gods are often wrong, so how can scientists could right about global warming? That is a question often placed at out feet by the denialists... The answer to this is very complex and one day I will tackle it. Meanwhile the conservative denialists will simply claim that "global warming is bullshit"... End of argument...
This erratic behaviour of water vapour was the reason why Arrhenius took the decision to concentrate of the carbon dioxide conundrum to analyse the ice age inductors, thus what would have been the proportion of CO2 during the ice ages. His very comprehensive analysis let him to calculate that CO2 presence in the atmosphere was around 40 per cent lower during the last Ice Age... Much of these calculations and analysis have been re-performed and re-confirm with small variations, quite a few times, including recently by a very serious scientific outfit.

In the end, the science of global warming is correct. 

It is the effects of global warming that are the subject of controversy and it is a philosophically hot potato.

Global warming trends tell us we are moving towards more extreme weather patterns, more extremes of heat and cold in some places, more intense in climate oscillations. And rising of sea levels.

For example in the past, it would have take several years for the US weather to experience a complete array of phenomena such as those of the last six months: 
Warm winter, early spring, 240+ tornadoes, wild fires in Colorado being frothed up by record temperatures and winds, and more recently a devastating "storm event" that was not even predicted by the smartest of all weather forecasters. Several days later, about one million people are still "in the dark", the emergency services are down and more high temperatures are on the way with stifling humidity... and there is more "storms and hurricanes to come"

I will end up this article on the way disinformation works:

There is no evidence that mermaids exist, a US government scientific agency has said.

The National Ocean Service made the unusual declaration in response to public inquiries following a TV show on the mythical creatures. It is thought some [many] viewers may have mistaken the programme for a documentary.

"No evidence of aquatic humanoids has ever been found," the service wrote in an online post.

 

Blimey... But then this is a happening the land where 60 per cent of the folks there still do not subscribe to the theory of evolution because it is contrary to the scriptures...

We're on a loosing streak trying to fight scientific ignorance and conservatism in a world where emotions and denial rule... and where the power of the rich prevails in controlling the commercial emotional debate.

As well, our national media is pushed to be "balanced":

Q&A on ABC TV is an emotional debate and this is why I hate it...

 

The conservative denialists are cleverly destroying our trust in science... Their tactic is to increase and control the proportion of doubters... In this context, they are succeeding in a 54/45 ration which is about the same as Liberal (conservative)/LaborGreen ratio... But in Labor there are also many doubters influenced by the conservative machine... In the end, Summer will tell us a bit more about the future...

 

My next instalment, hopefully: religion versus science...

 

and yet another trick...

steamo

This colour photograph on the forum brochure shows grey-white vapour emanating from smokestacks at an unidentified industrial site. Condensing steam, however, is not carbon dioxide, nor is soot (carbon). Carbon dioxide is a colourless and odourless trace gas. Red herrings –be they “carbon” images or rhetoric - do not make gaseous plant food a pollutant, except in Warmerland and Orwell’s Oceania.

 

-----------------------------------

 

 

Gus: this gets my beef... The image and comment above are used in a Quadrant article to illustrate how the climate change alarmists are trying to fool us... The picture was taken from a WA university forum paper cover...

 

But one needs to be careful here. One does not know what comes out of these chimney stacks... As far as one could speculate, it could methane out of one, SO2 out of one other and CO2 out of the rest... One does not know... The fact is more often than not, these gases when released into the atmosphere by industrial processes are released MIXED with water vapour. The mix is usually at high temperature as the picture would suggest since the cloudiness does not come out of the chimney but from about four or five metres away from the top... This indicates a high temperature of the gas coming out. Once outside, the water vapour will start to condense — having reached the dew point very quickly by being mixed in cool air that becomes thus quickly saturated with humidity. Should the other gas be SO2, this would turn very quickly into the product that used to create acid rain in the 1980s... Should the other gases be CO2 and methane, they quickly dissipate into the atmosphere according to the law of thermodynamics applied to gas — adding more CO2 to the atmosphere in the process...


Having worked in industrial factories in the 1960s, I know that NEVER EVER, the steam that comes out these chimney stacks is pure water vapour... More often than not these emissions of water vapours contain a lot of other gases that the plant wants to get rid off... One of the plant I worked at was releasing straight nitrous oxide NO2 into the atmosphere until was shut down... The long streak of yellow smoke was too obvious...


Unless one knows what I have explained above, one would take the denialists rants as a bible of knowledge. It's crap...

 

climate change and religion

religion and climate

picture by Gus...

 

As to be expected, there is no religious consensus for or against on climate change — mostly contradictions...

 

Even the catholic church is divided. The pope of course has warned about humans destroying the planet by various means, including climate change — you should see his power bill — and rampant population "explosion", but the church is still opposed to proven methods of arresting population growth, such as condom and the pill. I can understand his position: on the other side of the ledger, people in other religious groups such as the Muslims are multiplying like rabbits. Thus in the immediate future, we won't see major population control brought out by religious intent. 

 



To some extend, our social interaction, now seemingly based on tweetering "entertainment" and the cost of "raising kids", has more chance to reduce population growth, except in poor religious families where getting welfare for having kids can be "milked"... 
Within the catholic church there is not so quiet dissent, mostly brought by sceptics and traditional theologians such as Cardinal Pell, the Cardinal of Sydney, Australia. Pell has been an ardent and vocal opponent of the climate change theorists... Pell is also an ardent fighter against the theory of evolution.

In the Muslim camp, the Earth has been given by god to humans to look after (similar proposition in the Christian and Jewish belief systems)... So what are we to make of this?... I will state here from my own experience in Africa that most of the Muslims who had goats did not see the damage that this animal species in large numbers can do... If you wonder why some places are looking like deserts, one can ask the question if the goats were at the origin of this... Horses and cows eat grasses to about two to three centimetres above the ground. Goats eat or kill the roots of plants as well. Sheep don't do such damage...
Meanwhile, most Arabic nations conveniently sort of blame the western civilisation for having been the great polluter and creator of CO2. They're also pointing the finger at China and India these days... But they often forget that they are in it to the hilt. Many Arabic nations provide or have provided most of the good-oil for the western civilisation to burn... Meanwhile they have ruled their society with extravagant lifestyle for male royalties and male despots under strict Muslim dictums, while the rest of the population is more or less still living like serfs in a fiefdom, and women have little or no rights...

Meanwhile, the other wild cards in the USA are the evangelists... Thus not only the scientists have to raise above the crap that is thrown at them from rich industrialists and bankers, via their pseudo-scientists and spruikers, they have to fight most of the main stream churches on subtle fronts and combat the evangelists to the death. The USA is the land of great knowledge in the brains of some thinkers and of great ignorance in the mind of many — many of these are believers and weapon yielding nuts. 60 per cent in that country do not "believe" in the theory of evolution because it's not one of god's registered trademarks... It's not in the bible and it's contrary to the genesis in that "sacred" book... End of story. Science is evil... Climate change is a communist plot. God will punish those who believe in "climate change" like he did punish those who believed in the golden bull, Wall Street excluded...
In many quarters in America, if someone mentions climate change, one is labelled straight away as a left-wing or a liberal thinker, and totally wrong of all horrors. During the 30s and 40s, as America was praising the work of Einstein, in Germany, Einstein work was deemed to be "Jewish Physics"... Of course things have changed, but now as the science of global warming demands some reasonable anti-capitalist actions that would limit our carbon emissions, most capitalists, especially the conservatives oppose the concept and declare "global warming is crap"...

This was the motto that came out of Tony Abbott's mouth, Tony being the present Australian opposition leader. Despite having changed his words to appease the scientific community, he still believe it's crap. He does... Why would he go and front rallies of old retirees flanked by his mates Mirabella (Sophie) and Bishop (Bronwyn) wearing placards against the theory of global warming and against doing anything about, especially against "that tax"... Let's not forget that Tony Abbott was once in favour of the carbon tax, that now he is not, that he was supporting his party's ETS before an election, but made sure he took over that party to kill off the idea that by then had been adopted by the Labor Government. 

Yes, Tony Abbott is a wind-vane spinning crazily to all quarters, in the middle of a dead calm... Yes, Tony Abbott is a catholic under the "confessor-ship" of Cardinal Pell... Pell is a denialist. Pell does not care what the pope think on this "secular" mater...

Pell keeps in touch with (and has spoken in front of) an outfit called the "Global Warming Policy Foundation" which is in reality an anti-global warming theory organisation run by hard-nosed English conservatives in a ploy to divert attention from the real science. Another cunning deceitful name for this outfit here... 
This is the main outfit from where the climate-fraudulent Lord Monckton of Brenchley comes from. As seen in my article on this site called  "nearly all in the family" this organisation is run by Baron Lawson of Blaby, himself the father of Dominic Lawson — a fierce anti-global warming "journalist" — and Nigella Lawson, the cook... 

Thus the present Australian conservative leader — Tony Abbott — is very much intwined with all this denial, since he is a follower of Lord Monckton and a religious nut in the clutches of Cardinal Pell... 
By now you should know that Tony will say anything plausible that he does not mean in order to get elected... Most of the media supports him in this endeavour, portraying him as a righteous man, while he a deceitful idiot... 

The only thing Tony Abbott truly means is that "he will destroy the carbon tax", for no good reason of course, with a "replacement policy" that won't be worth the band aids and costing 20 times more, but designed to fill the pockets of his rich polluting mates — apart from sending the refugees to Nauru. The rest he does not talk about but he's committed to reinstating the Work Choices policy under a different name, just to make your life a misery... and to crashing the health system to a halt...

So this is the choice: "global warming is crap" as decided by religious beliefs or conservative beancounting — or global warming can be studied in more than 5000 pages of mathematical data and 1,395.6 complex experiments that prove that global warming is 99.9 per cent man made... 

"Oh.... I would worry about that 0.1 per cent... It should have equal prominence in any discussion about this subject..." they tell us, just to waste your time until you give up...
I won't give up... but I don't have all the time in the world...

 

GLOBAL WARMING IS REAL...

sunset

picture by Gus leonisky

 

Meteorology and global warming are two different scientific studies of the atmosphere... Both make usage of complex mathematics that would make mere mortals scratch their heads... I am a mere mortal with a bit of understanding of the maths involved, but to say the least it's more complex than a Jamie Oliver recipe. Meteorologists may or may not subscribe to the global warming theory, yet they should, but their discipline though complex is mostly limited to conditions, rather than inductors or "triggers" of warming... nor does meteorology included the complete study of past aeons...

 


Not only both are complex, imponderables of statistical records and the "butterfly in the Amazon forest" of the Chaos theory in unstable uncertain turbulent environments with stable limits interfere with the precision of the work... 

As every one knows, no-one can never "prove" anything... not even a Higgs boson (99.99999999 %)

Thus, when one enters the world of global warming, one dips into a universe of Lagrangian mechanical (physics) equations in relation to heat and the thermodynamics law — a hard basket of complex causes and twisted effects — and other complexities. The Newtonian laws of physics are quite simple but are mostly simplifications of reactive effects in linear ideal conditions with only a couple of variables. The Lagrangian mathematics deal with the mega-tortuous squiggles, resultant from a variety of influential factors — each with their own balance, erratic behaviour and tipping points...

The Global Warming Theory would take into account:
Some simple Newtonian linear equations
Lagrangian equations
The law of thermodynamics
Some Poincarré derivative equations
Some Chaos Theory equations
The chemistry of gases and particles.
The status of gases — especially that of clear-vaour/cloudy-vapour/liquidity of water 
Reflectivity/refraction/scattering/absorption equations of gases and surfaces (including the oceans)
Planetary Albedo, (the fraction of the total incident solar irradiance that is reflected back into space). 
The statistical record of "events" such as volcano eruption and meteorites.
The statistical record of Earth axis and elliptical wobbles.
Excellent and precise records of temperature, pressure and hygrometry at many levels of the atmosphere 
Excellent and precise records of the gaseous mix at anyone time at specific levels
Excellent and precise historical records of such — as much as possible.
For example some instrumentation carried by weather balloons in the early days were giving lower rates of CO2 at certain altitudes, until it was soon discovered that these rates were only the reading of the quantity of CO2 in a rarefied atmosphere rather than the proportion of CO2 in that rarefied atmosphere...
Understanding of the empirical formation of clouds, of the dew point and wind factor.
and general meteorology
This is by no mean a comprehensive list as there are many sub-equations in all the mathematical references...
As well, a bracketed factor of error has to be accounted for in the collection of data and the processing thereof...

--------------------------

For the ignoramuses, it's easy to say "Climate change is crap"... because the science appears to be like an arcane alchemist voodoo spell with mathematical squiggles that don't mean much, except to those who know... 

Meanwhile the real observations of climate indicate a CHANGE FOR THE WARMER, a change for the more turbulent (extreme of weather events) and an increase of CO2...

The correlation between CO2 and temperature is accepted by most serious denialists.
The more CO2 in the atmosphere the more heat. Whichever comes first, the two ITEMS are in a seemingly indivisible relationship. The main sticking point between a few scientists and the global warming theorists is whichever comes first. The CO2 or the heat? (This relationship can be altered by the composition of the gaseous mix, including proportion of oxygen — a cooling gas — in the atmosphere but this gas has been reasonably proportionally stable for the past few million years).

The global warming science points out that CO2 is an inductor of higher temperatures as this recent article suggests, despite some local variations in the record:

The covariation of carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration and temperature in Antarctic ice-core records suggests a close link between CO2 and climate during the Pleistocene ice ages. The role and relative importance of CO2 in producing these climate changes remains unclear, however, in part because the ice-core deuterium record reflects local rather than global temperature. Here we construct a record of global surface temperature from 80 proxy records and show that temperature is correlated with and generally lags CO2 during the last (that is, the most recent) deglaciation. Differences between the respective temperature changes of the Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere parallel variations in the strength of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation recorded in marine sediments. These observations, together with transient global climate model simulations, support the conclusion that an antiphased hemispheric temperature response to ocean circulation changes superimposed on globally in-phase warming driven by increasing CO2 concentrations is an explanation for much of the temperature change at the end of the most recent ice age.

 

 

A Gus proposition is that CO2 (a "greenhouse" gas) absorbs certain wavelengths of infrared radiation. Water vapour (the main "greenhouse" gas) may absorb different wavelengths of infrared...  When CO2 releases the absorbed energy it may release it in a wavelength easily absorbed by water vapour, adding to the energy level in the vapour, possibly with the effect of changing the cloudy to clear water vapour status.

 

This seems innocuous but this process lets more sunlight through, thus more heat being absorbed by the water vapour, increasing the atmospheric heat in a self-feeding loop within time limits — due to local conditions and day or night. The clouds, in relation to dew point, thus could form at higher altitude or may not form at all.

 

Should there be more humidity near ground level due to higher sea evaporation due to such heat, some unshapen clouds may appear not far above (around 100 metres or lower) ground level... These changed local conditions could also come possibly from a separate warming area several hundred kilometres away from these local conditions. 

 

Most of the chaotic atmospheric disturbances may not participate in the warming itself but in the distribution thereof at local level... Under such warming, these disturbances will make some locations either more dry or more humid, colder or hotter according to the historical development of these local conditions —with a bit more. 

 

Meanwhile, the general outlook is for warming on a global scale nonetheless with more extreme in climatic disturbances at local level.

 

Some "denialist" scientists who do some rigourous analysis of the irrefutable warming, are getting worried they are actually providing ammunitions to the alarmists (as they call the majority of scientists who subscribe to the global warming theory)... One of the main sticking points for denialists has been the lag observed between temperature rising and the CO2 rising in some of the record... pointing out that temperature rose first then CO2... (Either way we cook)...

 

The major influences upon these recorded lag of CO2 rising after temperatures has been rightfully attributed to "local" conditions where the record was created and now studied. In most other records, CO2 has been shown to rise earlier than temperature, but both are in "sinc".. 

 

The rises of temperature/CO2 are "distorted" first by local factors, though influenced by the global phenomenon of CO2 induced warming...

 

In the end, the science of Global warming is correct despite "local" variations. 

 

This is why it is called "global warming" not "London warming". Under some complex computer models that also take into account the possible change to ocean currents, The UK is likely to become colder for a while — in a global warming world, but not necessarily as local conditions can shift chaotically in a different direction while the trend is still towards global warming. 

The present rise of CO2 in the atmosphere has been anthropomorphic since the 1850s. The global temperature have risen accordingly...

 

PRESENT GLOBAL WARMING is DUE TO ANTHROPOMORPHIC CO2 and is REAL.

 

Next instalment: what do we do?....

lend me your ears...

dandelion


(PHILADELPHIA) — Americans dipped into the water, went to the movies and rode the subway just to be in air conditioning Saturday for relief from unrelenting heat that has killed 30 people across half the country.
The heat sent temperatures soaring over 100 degrees in several cities, including a record 105 in Washington, St. Louis (106), and Indianapolis (104), buckled highways and derailed a Washington-area train even as another round of summer storms threatened.
If people ventured outside to do anything, they did it early. But even then, the heat was stifling.
"It was baking on the 18th green," said golfer Zeb Rogerson, who teed off at 6 a.m. at an Alexandria, Va., golf course but was sweltering by the end of his round.
The heat sent temperatures soaring in more than 20 states to 105 in Louisville, Ky., 101 in Philadelphia, and 95 in New York; besides Washington, a record of 104 was set in Sioux Falls, S.D., and Baltimore set a record at 102.

Read more: http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,2119020,00.html#ixzz200q8LSfb

-----------------------

Flash floods, the worst there in living memory, struck in the Krasnodar region on Friday night, reportedly without warning.

The rains dumped as much as 28cm (11 inches) of water overnight, forcing many residents to take refuge in trees or on house roofs.

TV pictures later showed thousands of house almost completely submerged with people scrambling onto their rooftops to escape the rising waters.

Most of those who died were in and around Krymsk, a town of 57,000 people. But nine deaths were reported in the Black Sea resort of Gelendzhik with a further two in the port town of Novorossiysk.

Anna Kovalevskaya, who says she has relatives in Krymsk, told the BBC her family was caught unawares by the floods.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-18758895

-------------------------

As CO2 increases in the atmosphere, so does the temperature.

As CO2 rises "atmospheric never-heard-of-in-a-life-time events" become common...

If one studies the Vostok ice record closely, one should note an average of eight degree Celsius rise EVERY TIME for a change of only 100 ppm of CO2 (from 180 ppm of CO2 to 280 ppm)... 
We have not yet come close to this large temperature increase despite our anthropomorphic CO2 from fossil fuel burning having added nearly 225 ppm of CO2 in the atmosphere for the last 160 years... The temperature will continue to rise though accordingly, with some variable amount of delay...

Proper scientists are very worried... Something huge is coming to bite us on the bum... 

So far this massive increase of CO2 has only added a bit more than one degree Celsius since the 1850s. One should expect a lag time (or drag) in the "apparent" effects of CO2, but its relationship with temperature in the lower atmosphere is undeniable. Despite the present modest increase of heat, we have seen more devastation from atmospheric events in numbers never seen before...  
The delay is presently used by the denialists to claim that "global warming is crap" or as a reason to do nothing.
In fact the lag time is due to some other mitigating factors such as the melting of ice and the warming of the sea — processes that "absorb" a lot of energy — and some volcanic activity that has dimmed the atmosphere, plus a very "cool" sun for the past eleven years... 

With what we have ALREADY added into the atmosphere, we should expect the next few years to be horrid, weather-wise... 
We have to plan for a rise of at least four to six degree Celsius by 2100 with only the amount of CO2 we have pumped into the atmosphere already. 

But we are adding 3 to 4 ppm of residual CO2 per annum into the atmosphere (after taking into account the ocean and plant absorption of our TOTAL emissions). By 2100, the levels of CO2 could be above 800 ppm... Such levels have not been recorded since nearly 120 million years ago (or about, Gus estimate), when the sea level was about 100 metres above what it is now. 
Water World with Kevin Costner is not an unreality as far as water levels....
-----------------------
"Common sense" would tell us to STOP this human induced EXTRA CO2 NOW ... But it is very difficult to do so. While most of us are prepared to sacrifice a little bit and buy those funny globes because we are told to, we feel we've done enough "to save the planet"... We are more inclined to protect our comfort while dismissing the future's pains — those we have not felt yet... Yes, It does not hurt really... It's a crock... Let's crank up the air conditioner... 
Our entire world economy is carbon based, thus doing something to reduce CO2 emission would be quite inconvenient to our comfortable mercantile existence...

The EXTRA CO2 added into the atmosphere by human comes from a range of activities: transport, metallurgy, energy supply, husbandry, crops, destruction of forests, pollution, chemical industries, entertainment and more... Meanwhile, so far, we have not included the rogue EXTRA warming from our methane emissions, in these carbon equation here. 

We have to find what such increase of global temperatures means...
In the long and short range, the effects can be different. Ultimately we need to know at which point the warming will balance out with the albedo plus some extra heat escaping into space...
I have personally formulated various levels, one at plus six degrees Celsius by 2100, then the next at plus 9 degrees Celsius by 2200... Then 12 degrees Celsius extra by 2250... Hell will be let loose and the conditions will make life unbearable except underground... But this extra temperature will not be distributed evenly, depending on local conditions. An extra 12 degree average may mean an extra 15 to 20 degree Celsius in the Antarctic, thus when it's minus 50 today, the temperature would be a "balmy minus 30" by 2300... 

One of the major local condition that has an enormous influence on weather patterns is the Antarctic Ocean — a ring of uninterrupted oceans that — combined with the Antarctic continent acts like a refrigerator... 45 million years ago, this was not the case. This oceanic ring did not exist as it was stopped by the Australian continent still attached to the Antarctic plate... The weather patterns were very different, even with a similar atmospheric gaseous mix.



WHY DO WE HAVE TO REDUCE OUR EMISSIONS OF CO2?
The seriousness of global warming is beyond most people's comprehension, and the jokers are out there trying to confuse the crap out us all, so we side with the idiots who claim "global warming is crap"... 
We are lazy... The media is lazy... Tired of hearing about "climate change" without having felt anything of it... This is why I repeat here again : the day you "feel" climate change, the planet would have five years max before the lights are out... Humans would be gone in four...

So the United Nation devised a plan that is updated regularly and despite a few mistakes that have now been corrected, it is spot on. It has formulated four scenarios. In one of them in we have to gradually reduce our emissions of CO2 down 50 per cent of what they were say in 1998 by 2050  — to limit the damage at a two degree Celsius rise by 2100 (but still rising)... 
This is not foolproof. The global temperature could (will) start to shoot through rapidly without warning... despite our efforts to do something about our emissions. One thing for sure, if average temperature goes "down" one year, it would not be for long — the general trend being a minimum of 6 degrees per 200 ppm extra per 200 years, cumulatively, including lag time....

This is why many countries (including Switzerland, carbon tax of US$60 per ton of carbon) have adopted carbon reduction schemes including "alternative" or "green" sources of energy... A carbon tax is one of the most effective way to enforce reductions of carbon emissions. Emission trading schemes can be rorted but in general these also works. 

The most recent measurement of CO2 above the Arctic was above 400 ppm. This indicates a major jump in human induced CO2 as the "natural" CO2 level is around 175 ppm on average... 
The atmospheric disturbances, plus the melting of the ice, itself absorbing some of the heat in the atmosphere (retarding the global warming effect), are leading to increases in sea levels as well as more frequent and more severe storms. 

CO2 influence on humidity increases the risk of floods under specific local conditions and/or pockets of hot dry air increase the potential of wild fires, themselves adding CO2 into the atmosphere that will outlast, by centuries, the dimming effect from soot particles coming from such fires... 

On the other side of the ledger, carbon is part of life and we "cannot' live without it. Yet, our problem stems only from our uninhibited usage or the EXTRA carbon coming from fossil fuels — carbon that has been sequestered in the Earth crust and has not been part of the "natural" carbon equation for many millions of year (120 million — my estimate). 

In previous geological times when SOME of this carbon was part of the atmospheric carbon equation, many other factors were at play, sometimes with more oxygen (cooling gas) in the air and other times with a resultant heat that had melted all ice caps on the planet.
(Some dramatic events followed with rapid cooling weather changes and extinction of species, while the carbon was thus sequestered, by death of species.)
Carbon comes from dead forests, oil comes mostly comes from dead sea creatures — all "killed" millions of years ago....

Presently, we are inducing a change akin to that of the last ice age melt — a melt that took 2000 years — in only 200 years... This is massively fast. Note that the oxygen proportion in the gaseous mix has not changed much for the last million years or so.

Furthermore, 50 per cent of energy supply needs to be of a regular base load format which at present cannot be sustained well by "green" energy. Green energy is still more expensive that carbon energy, but cheaper than nuclear energy should one remove the subsidies given to that nuking industry. Transport (planes, automobiles, trucks, even electric trains) uses a lot of carbon-based products that "pollute" and release CO2 into the atmosphere.

We NEED TO reduce our carbon footprint immediately on a world scale in order to minimise extreme atmospheric events and retard sea level rising. 
Nonetheless, by 2100, under a reduction of 50 per cent of our emissions by 2050, sea level will still have risen by 45 centimetres minimum (and rising still). This may not be much but adding storm surges and tides, some countries on the planet will suffer considerably. A city like New Orleans has no future unless the levee system is risen by another metre by 2050 and another by 2100. and then?...
Miami will have to start planning for a series of dikes and Bangladesh will loose a third of its territory to water. Meanwhile typhoons, hurricanes, tornadoes and cyclones will have increased in number and strength that will make some places quite uninhabitable... At times and in some places, the heat will become overbearing... Crops will fail from flooding rain, from drought, from heat and from lack of diversity as we fiddle with GM.
The EXTRA carbon dioxide dissolved in water (ocean, lakes, rivers) also adds acidity to the "natural carbonic acid" quantities. Carbonic acid is a very weak acid but not a negligible acid in its effects, especially on the oceans wildlife such as zooplanktons. Humans are adaptable to a great variety of conditions. We are possibly far more adaptable than cockroaches. But the effect of human induced global warming, in conjunction with other factors such as destruction of habitats will lead to some great extinction of species — some without warming. 

As self-declared carers/users of this planet (or caretakers if you believe in god) we need to pay serious attention to our natural travelling companions... They don't deserve to die because we are stupid. Or idiots...

We need to pay attention to the United nations IPCC warnings... 
The DANGERS OF GLOBAL WARMING HAVE BEEN GREATLY UNDERSTATED...

excitment of the dung-beetles...

 

mother nature...

So what is up with former climate sceptics, conversions, and media attention?

The short answer is that most non-science journalists (and editors!) simply don’t know much about the science of climate change or how solid it is. In this area in particular, they are classic low information thinkers, and so they make up their minds about what is newsworthy based upon short-cuts and heuristics.

This has many consequences. For instance, it explains why journalists (like average Americans) are much more likely to focus on climate change in the context of extreme heat and weather. It also makes these non-science journalists highly susceptible to framing effects — which gets to the heart of our story.

There are few frames that journalists dig more than the conversion story; the “Nixon Going to China” narrative, in all its various incarnations. And, of course, they don’t dig it for scientific reasons — they dig it for political ones. A convert represents a shift – movement – in the overall political narrative. A convert is also likely a proxy for the public, especially at a time when more and more Americans are shocked and alarmed by extreme weather and highly open to considering global warming as its cause.

What all of this means, of course, is that while in a scientific sense Muller’s conversion is quite insignificant – in fact, its tardiness may even seem rather trying – in a political sense, his recent arrival is all that matters. So just declare victory, my scientific friends. True, we won over most of the scientists that matter a long time ago. But politically, converts still count for a great deal.

read more: http://www.independentaustralia.net/2012/environment/why-the-media-adore-former-climate-sceptics/

 

See picture and read articles from top

 

incorrect assumptions from a turncoat...

 

The warmists are correct that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and it causes warming, that CO2 levels have been rising, and that it has been warming.

Serious sceptics agree with all that, but point out that it does not prove that something else isn't causing most of the warming. By way of illustration, if the main cause of warming was actually Venusians with ray guns, then all those things would still be true.

The sceptic's main suspect is the sun. While the sun's radiation is roughly constant, its magnetic field varies considerably. This field shields the earth from cosmic rays that, according to recent experiments at the world's premier atom smasher CERN, might seed clouds. Clouds cool the planet, so if the sun's magnetic field wanes, then it might get cooler here on earth.
...
The climate models predict that the outgoing radiation from the earth decreases in the weeks following a rise in the surface temperature, due to aggressive heat-trapping by extra humidity. But analysis of the outgoing radiation measured by NASA satellites for the last two decades shows the opposite occurs: the earth gives off more heat after the surface temperature rises. Again, this suggests that the amplification assumed in the models simply does not occur in reality.

Government climate scientists tend to excuse away these failings, often blaming unmeasured aerosols whose effects are only dimly understood. These excuses wear ever thinner as the CO2 level continues to rise but the temperature plateau of the last 12 years persists.

There are huge vested interests in the theory of man-made climate change. They will soon have to face up to the fact that they have been unwittingly relying on assumed amplification by humidity for most of the predicted temperature increases, and that the amplification is not there in reality.

Dr David M. W. Evans is a mathematician and engineer who consulted full-time for the Australian Greenhouse Office (now the Department of Climate Change) from 1999 to 2005. He says he changed from being a warmist to a sceptic after ''evidence supporting the idea that CO2 emissions were the main cause of global warming reversed itself from 1998 to 2006''.


Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/climate-change-science-is-a-load-of-hot-air-and-warmists-are-wrong-20120801-23fdv.html#ixzz22NB2LagZ

----------------------------

Codswallop....

"evidence supporting the idea that CO2 emissions were the main cause of global warming reversed itself from 1998 to 2006"???... 

The sun magnetic shield protecting the earth??? Sure!!! but the cycle is well noted.

 The scientific models of global warming do account for the sun cycles (solar magnetic activity cycle 11 years approx). In the last ten years, global warming has "slowed" ONLY SLIGHTLY — mostly due to the sun being "dormant" — though six of the warmest years in recorded history were in that last decade. Solar magnetic variation and other variations such as the earth axis wobble or/and the Milankovitch cycles are factored in. 

The Sydney Morning Herald should be ashamed for letting such blatant manipulation of reality by a Dr David M. W. Evans. He may be a doctor, but he is a poor spinner for the denialists... 

Once all the factors are allowed for, the main culprit of warming IS CO2, methane and other greenhouse gases, including water vapour.

END OF STORY.

One should actually pay EXTREME attention to the fact than no previous CO2 amount has ever been greater than now in our atmosphere, for a million years on this planet. Since then, the greatest amounts in the atmosphere of CO2 has been 300 ppm with MATCHING temperature increases in the range of 10 degrees C above temperatures noted from lows of around 150 ppm of CO2... 

At present we have passed 400 ppm of CO2 (recorded in the arctic region). Excuse me for being a CO2 warmist vermin...

Read all articles from top to bottom...


 

I could do more to kill denialism...

 

Manne's essay charts the decades-long effort to spread doubt and confusion about the science of human-caused climate change, focusing on the think tanks and corporations that created and backed a "relentless" campaign in the United States which has infected other parts of the Western world, including Australia.

Manne draws on already published books and research papers about the climate denial industry, and so in that respect close watchers won't find anything new. But it is his declaration that climate science denialists have won which will stick in the throat of many climate change campaigners and science communicators.

Manne tells me why he had come to that conclusion:

I find it difficult to see how a reasonably objective observer could deny that this is what has happened - gradually at first but also dramatically since the end of 2009, due largely to the combination of the failure of Copenhagen and the impact of 'Climategate'.

The victory I write about is limited to the United States, although denialism is an important and almost certainly growing movement in Canada, Australia and the UK.

If climate change denialists are pleased [by the conclusion], then they have chosen to ignore the explicit claim of the article that they are part of an irrationalist movement that is placing the future of the Earth at risk. The role of analysis is to be as faithful to the truth as one can be, not to boost morale or to support delusion.

For the denialists to be "victorious", they do not need to "prove" that global warming is a "hoax". All they have to do is to "manufacture doubt", that is to say to create a substantial level of public doubt about the solidity of the science.

According to Manne, president Barack Obama has been "nobbled" by the denialist campaign and the Republican Party almost "entirely converted" to denying the science.

-----------------------------

At least Gus Leonisky will have a clear conscience on this subject, though I could do more to kill denialism...

 

But, I will count the dead... Every time there is a major climatic event on this planet that destroys things and kills people, I will assume that 10 per cent of these effects are due to human induced global warming... This 10 per cent applies from now on, with an increase of one per cent per year. By 2030, the attributable climatic event deaths from human induced global warming will be 38 per cent... Then, by 2032, things will get far worse.

Denialists are thus murderers. The longer they are in denial, the more murders will be committed...

 

dumping that fake horrid "galileo movement"....

 

But there is at least one conspiracy theory which Andrew Bolt isn’t happy to endorse. Up until last week, Bolt was listed as an adviser to one of Australia’s most active climate denialist organisations the Galileo Movement. But then what happened?

read more at http://www.independentaustralia.net/2012/environment/bolting-like-lightning-from-galileo-movement/

....

 

One of Bolt’s other favourite “experts” to cite is Christopher Monckton who, like Evans and Nova, is also an adviser to the Galileo Movement. Bolt cites Monckton enthusiastically  hereherehere and here and probably lots of other places.

Monckton has been pushing his various conspiratorial talking points around the globe for years. To add to his insistence that climate change is some sort of socialist plot to take over the world, Monckton has recently taken to questioning the legitimacy of President Barack Obama’s birth certificate in a Tea Party-sponsored tour. Is Bolt happy to stick with Monckton, one wonders?

But is it fair to generalise that people who deny climate change science are all conspiracy theorists? Well no, but one piece of new research does suggest that people who reject the science are also more likely to entertain a whole range of whacky ideas.

Research led by cognitive psychologist Professor Stephan Lewandowsky at the University of Western Australia, to be published in the journal Psychological Science, found an important predictor for climate science denialism was a belief in free-market economics.

But the research also found a correlation between denial of human caused climate change science and “conspiracist ideation”, such as acceptance of supposed CIA plots to kill Martin Luther King, faked Moon landings or how the US government let the Japanese attack Pearl Harbour so they could enter World War II.

Or the strongest correlation, plots to create world governments.

http://www.independentaustralia.net/2012/environment/bolting-like-lightning-from-galileo-movement/

Readers of this site know too well what we think of Jo Nova and Lord Monckton... If you don't know yet, read from top, very carefully... Say hello to my mate the possum in the picture if you feel like it too...

Note: In my excitment, I have sometimes used the wrong word. I used "anthropomorphic" when I meant "anthropogenic"... Please note, this does not diminish my arguments.

 

scepticism, contrarianism and denialism...

 

Some 20 years ago, climate scientists arrived at the conclusion that the vast acceleration in the emission of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases since the industrial revolution was causing the temperature of the Earth to rise. Almost all agreed that we were facing a genuine crisis. Some came to believe that we were facing a catastrophe deeper than any other in the history of the human species. James Hansen of NASA, perhaps the pre-eminent climate scientist in the world, argues in Storms of My Grandchildren that if over the coming decades and centuries we continue to exploit all the fossil fuels that have lain under the surface of the Earth for hundreds of millions of years – all the coal, oil, natural gas and tar sands that have been or are yet to be discovered – then inevitably all the polar ice on Earth will melt, raising the level of the oceans by 75 metres and turning the planet into an alien, barren and unrecognisable place. He contends we have already passed certain “tipping points”.

So far nations and the international ‘community’ have failed conspicuously to rise to the challenge posed by these dangers. Since the Rio Earth Conference of 1992, which initiated the search for an international agreement, carbon dioxide emissions have risen by 40% or more. At Kyoto in 1997, a first, modest agreement was reached. It did nothing to prevent the pace of emissions increasing. Since the failure of the Copenhagen conference in 2009 to find a replacement for Kyoto, there has been no prospect of any new international agreement. Nothing was expected from the conference held at Rio in June on the 20th anniversary of the initial international gathering. Nothing was achieved. Elizabeth Kolbert of the New Yorker has captured perfectly the world’s response so far to the warning issued by climate scientists 20 years ago: “It may seem impossible to imagine that a technologically advanced society could choose, in essence, to destroy itself, but that is what we are now in the process of doing.”

As greenhouse gas emissions have continued to rise, as evidence of global warming has continued to grow, as the unwillingness of the world to act to curb emissions has become increasingly clear, a determination not to notice the looming catastrophe has taken hold of large parts of the population. At one level, this determination is psychological – the incapacity of a society of consumers to accept the need to sacrifice even a part of material prosperity to ensure the wellbeing of the Earth. At another level, the determination is political – the willingness of large numbers of people to listen to those who are telling them that the group of experts upon whom they customarily rely, the relevant cadre of trained and published scientists, have comprehensively got things wrong.

For reasonable citizens there ought to be no question easier to answer than whether or not human-caused global warming is real and is threatening the future of the Earth. Thousands of climate scientists in a variety of discrete disciplines have been exploring the issue for decades. They have reached a consensual conclusion whose existence is easily demonstrated. Every authoritative national scientific body in the world supports the idea of human-caused global warming. So does one of the most remarkable collaborative achievements in the history of science – the United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), in which the research findings of the world’s leading climate scientists, as outlined in leading peer-reviewed scientific journals, are periodically presented to and then accepted by the governments of the world.

If a citizen was not convinced by this alone, three studies have been conducted that reveal an overwhelming core consensus. In 2004, Naomi Oreskes published in Science the result of her examination of the abstracts of every article in the world’s leading scientific journals published between 1993 and 2003 that was concerned with global climate change. There were 928 articles. Not one challenged the core consensus. In 2009, two scientists from the University of Chicago published in Eos the result of a survey they conducted among a group they called “Earth scientists”. They discovered that among those who called themselves climate scientists and who had published recently in the field, 97.4% agreed with the proposition that “human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures”. And, in 2010, the eminent climate scientist Stephen Schneider revealed in an article in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science that 195 (97.5%) of the 200 most published climate scientists were convinced by the evidence of anthropogenic climate change.

Consensus does not imply unanimity. Nor does it suggest that climate scientists are in agreement about the most difficult questions concerning either the past or the future – their calculations of temperature over the past centuries and millennia or their precise predictions about the pace and the nature of the changes that will be visited upon the Earth and its inhabitants as a consequence of the ever-accelerating injection of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. It should go without saying that the existence of a consensus on the core issue of human-caused global warming does not provide any answers to the diabolically difficult public policy questions that arise for nations and the international community. What is clear, however, is that a rational citizen has little alternative but to accept the consensual core position of climate scientists. Discussion of this point should long ago have ended. That it has not is the most persuasive possible example of the feebleness of reason, the futility of argument and the failure of politics.

There are three possible words to describe the political movement that has sought to convince citizens to reject the core conclusion of climate scientists: scepticism, contrarianism and denialism. ‘Scepticism’ suggests an open mind. The minds of those who dispute the consensual core of climate science are closed. ‘Contrarianism’ is a term commonly used, even by some of those who are best informed, like the climate scientist Michael Mann. ‘Contrarian’ might be the right term for the small minority among climate scientists who have not accepted the consensual conclusion of their fellow scientists. The contrarian is a loner, perhaps cranky, but also genuinely independent of mind. Most of those who dispute the consensual conclusions of the climate scientists are not mavericks or heretics but orthodox members of a tightly knit group whose natural disposition is not to think for themselves. To dispute the conclusion drawn by climate scientists involves for them neither the open mind of the sceptic nor the cranky independence of the contrarian but the determination – psychological or political or both – to deny what those who know what they are talking about have to say. They are denialists.

read more: http://www.themonthly.com.au/how-vested-interests-defeated-climate-science-dark-victory-robert-manne-5853

--------------------------

Please read all articles from top down...

 

a stupid viking versus an ethicist and god...

 

 

In truth, writes Benedict, our duty is to "exercise responsible stewardship over creation, to care for it and cultivate it." He laments "the neglect - if not downright misuse - of the earth and the natural goods that God has given us." In these concerns Pope Benedict is a worthy successor to Pope John Paul II who spoke often and passionately about the ecological crisis and the urgent need to respond to it.

Pope Benedict's call for us to do all we can to protect those most vulnerable to the ravages of climate change is unequivocal:

"The Church has a responsibility towards creation and she considers it her duty to exercise that responsibility in public life, in order to protect earth, water and air as gifts of God the Creator meant for everyone, and above all to save mankind from the danger of self-destruction."

Amen to that.

Clive Hamilton is Professor of Public Ethics at the Centre for Applied Philosophy and Public Ethics, a joint centre of Charles Sturt University and the University of Melbourne. His most recent book is Requiem for a Species: Why We Resist the Truth about Climate Change. This is the text of a public lecture delivered at Australian Catholic University, Sydney, on Wednesday, 29 August 2012.

-----------------------------------------------------

Comments (12)
Add your comment

THEVIKING :30 Aug 2012 11:43:23amAt least Hamilton is sort of commenting on something he is qualified to comment on: Ethics!

But he cant help comment on things he has no right to comment on: science!

But lets take a look at his "five characteristic elements" of deniers

1: the identification of conspiracies;

Big Oil, Big Tobacco, Nazis, Big Coal, Big Money, CIA blah blah

2: the use of fake experts and front organizations;

Geez look at most of the commentators on the ABC (like Hamilton himself) no involvement with the science at all. WHERE ARE THE REAL SCIENTISTS?

3: cherry-picking data from the scientific literature to support one's case;

Like the Hockey Stick, like land based temp data, like secret computer code and algorithms.

4: creating impossible expectations of what research can show; and,

Gee before we spend TRILLIONS and change human history we want the computer models to be basically accurate and obey the basic laws of mathematics and physics; is that too much to ask .... yes it appears to be!!

5: deploying misrepresentation and logical fallacies.

Yep like the Hockey Stick again, like the IPCC Full Report Versus the Summary Report, like hiding the IPCC Dissenting Report, like Climate Gate, like suppressing any dissent in the literature etc etc

Hmm which side of the debate was Clive "we need to suspend democracy" on?

http://www.abc.net.au/religion/articles/2012/08/29/3578983.htm?WT.svl=featuredSitesScroller
----------------------------

 

I have already tackled the problem of global warming and that of religious beliefs in an article above... Other people do so as well including this "Drum" article by Clive Hamilton, "The church and the ethics of climate change"...

Unfortunately, as much as I subscribe to the concept of ethics, There are NO MORALS nor ETHICS in relation to global warming. Just science — that we accept or reject and choice about what we do...

 

My "ethics" on many subject are basically in relation to pain and contentment... minimise pain, maximise contentment, personal and that of others. On the global warming issue, If we let  the problem (if it exists) grow, at which point will it affect our (personal and shared) comforts on this little planet?... Nothing more, nothing less...

 

Of course, when someone like Hamilton is tackling such complex (yet scientifically simple) issue as "global warming" there are always some IDIOTS (from that well orchestrated membership of the contrarian bloggotariat, as explained in another article above) who will dispute the science without any proof nor understanding of what they are talking about... Thus we have a smart arse like THEVIKING who makes some wild assumptions on the subject doing exactly far more cherry-picking that he accuses Hamilton of doing ...

For those who have not read all my articles on the subject of global warming, please do: GLOBAL WARMING IS REAL... And most of the present global warming experienced by this planet is due to an excess of CO2... Sure THEVIKING derides the "hockey stick" graph (that was used by Al Gore)... without noting or perhaps having never seen that for example in the Vostok Ice record there are about 5 "hockey sticks" (spikes) that correlates the relationship between CO2 and warming of the planet... this, since about 500,000 years ago... This is not even science interpretation. This is science observation that even the most denialist of scientists cannot deny...

 

Sure one can interpret the record differently though the relationship between CO2 and temperature is undeniable... In the Vostok record (and other records), the CO2 levels — associated with increase temperatures of about 10 degrees Celsius — are of the changing range between 150 to 300 ppm of CO2 in the atmosphere. Note that other factors also have so influence including water vapour, particles and O2...

 

Presently we have reached 400 ppm of CO2 in the atmosphere and the "climate" is telling us a few things. Increase of extreme climatic events, rise of temperatures and rise of sea level. I am old enough to even have personally noted the changes... THEVIKING writes like a kid out of nappies told by his masters the coal and oil lobbies to write stuff that sounds good... to sow doubt, but it is TOTAL CRAP.  The spiel from the denialists everywhere is the same here... somewhat adapted with different colour of bile to this article that present a "philosophical" point of view on the subject of global warming that is contrary to the carbon burning buffs... The first snide comment about ethics from THEVIKING really tells that he has no reality on human relationships...

 

Morons like THEVIKING appear everywhere in the bloggosphere, possible the same two denialists that keep busy multiplying their responses to all articles published on the subject in order to appear like a multitude to be noted... Their arguments are always sophistic, ill-though out and simply wrongly dismissive of scientific observations... 

They have NO PROOF of what they say... THEY GIVE ME THE SHITS... And I don care much about the idea of god either...

 

blame tony abbott for it...

 

Today we find ourselves at the lowest ebb of political debate I can remember. Australian politics seems never to have been quite this turgid; quality debate never quite so drowned out by shouting, a carping competition for … what?

The ambitions of both parties seem to be only about retaining or attaining government. There is no vision, no aspiration and, consequently, no connection with the Australian people.
Important issues are getting mired in banality. Think about climate change: an obsession with so-called ''balance'' in the media resulted in climate sceptics given equal air-time with climate scientists, perpetuating the view that the science on climate change is actually in question.
Many of us had hoped it would be otherwise. In 2007, Clive Hamilton and I edited the book Silencing Dissent, describing the Howard government's efforts to undermine dissenting and independent opinion. The book argued that Howard's attacks on dissenting individuals and institutions had resulted in the gradual erosion of robust public debate and a dramatic decline in the health of Australian democracy.

Like many others, I was optimistic that, when Howard eventually lost office in 2007, we would see some progressive change from the new government. And early signs - such as the 2020 Summit and the removal of Howard-era ''gag clauses'' from non-governmental organisation contracts - were promising. Plainly, the creeping authoritarianism of the Howard years would not simply persist under Labor.
But I did not believe then that a change of government would be enough to reverse the declining standard of our public debate. And indeed, the past five years have failed to realise our larger hopes for democratic revitalisation.

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/gags-gone-but-public-debate-is-still-a-joke-20120830-253c1.html#ixzz254ZoVmIb

BLAME TONY ABBOTT  for all this... See my arrticle on how Tony Detritus poisons the debate...

 

don't give the skepticologists a break...

 

No one would want a novelist to perform brain surgery with her biro. No one would want a man with a PhD in political science to then write textbooks claiming that those misadventures are best medical practice.

Society understands the architecture of academia and knows there are relevant qualifications in different fields, and the media accepts the idea of specialisations and accords greater respect to those with greater expertise. With one exception: climate science.

When it comes to this academic discipline, it seems that if you are a specialist in public sector food-poisoning surveillance or possess a zoology doctorate on sexual selection in pheasants, editors will seek your contrarian views more avidly than if you have qualifications in climate science and a lifetime's professional expertise. The press is further littered with climate "heretics" almost all of whom have academic backgrounds in historyliterature, and the classics with a diploma in media studies. (All these examples are true.) One botanist trying to argue that glaciers were advancing took his data (described as simply false by the World Glacier Monitoring Service) from a former architect.

I recently watched a debate between a climate scientist and that pheasant-expert-turned-journalist. An audience member asked: "Please could you explain how it is that you are 'right' while all climate scientists are 'wrong'?" He could not. I almost felt sorry for him. I know that he has lectured publicly on scientific heresy. I think that he wants to be Galileo.

Contrary to the beliefs of some contrarians, academia welcomes the Galileos and encourages scepticism. It wants its hypotheses robustly tested precisely because it wants to pass those tests. Its stern system of peer review is judicious and conscientious.

One more thing is required of academia: to play its role right at the heart of democracy. Being adequately informed is a democratic duty, just as the vote is a democratic right. A misinformed electorate, voting without knowledge, is not a true democracy. Society needs the expertise of academics in the most important issues: climate science above all.

read more: http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/aug/31/climate-change-heretics-media-easy-ride/print

 

conspiratorial rejection of science...

 

If the world’s conspiratorial blogosphere was broken up into food items on a wedding buffet table, then an eclectic array of plate-fillers would surely be on offer.

There would be canapés topped with faked moon landings and hors d’oeuvres of Government-backed plots to assassinate civil rights leaders.

Sandwich fillings would come from US military staff at Roswell in New Mexico (cheese and alien, anyone?). The alcoholic punch would be of the same vintage as that which the British Royal family gave Princess Diana’s chauffeur — as part of their plot to kill her. All of the catering would be provided by the New World Order.

Then there’s the salad of human-caused climate change being a hoax, with the world’s climate scientists, national academies and the declining Arctic sea-ice all being in on the conspiracy.

Professor Stephen Lewandowsky, a cognitive psychologist at the University of Western Australia (UWA), is about to publish research which shows that a strong indicator of the rejection of climate science is a willingness to accept conspiracy theories.

His paper, to be published in the journal Psychological Science, is titled “NASA faked the moon landing – Therefore (Climate) Science is a Hoax: An Anatomy of the Motivated Rejection of Science“.

The study details the results of a controlled online questionnaire posted on blogs between August and October 2010.

Among the conspiracy theories tested, were the faking of Apollo moon landings, US government agencies plotting to assassinate Martin Luther King, Princess Diana’s death being organised by members of the British Royal family and the US military covering up the recovery of an alien spacecraft that crashed in Roswell, New Mexico.

http://www.independentaustralia.net/2012/environment/the-anti-sceptic-truth-to-climate-science-conspiracy-theorists/
see also: http://www.yourdemocracy.net.au/drupal/node/19525

 

bullies and idiots fighting reality...

 

Albert Einstein wrote to his friend, the mathematician Marcel Grossmann, in 1920: “This world is a strange madhouse. Currently, every coachman and every waiter is debating whether relativity theory is correct. Belief in this matter depends on political party affiliation.” According to Jeroen van Dongen, of Utrecht University’s Institute for History and Foundations of Science in the Netherlands, the letter was written not long after a rally in Berlin’s Philharmonic Hall, organised by “a right-wing rabble-rouser with nationalist and völkisch [populist] ideals”, where Einstein had been denounced as a fraud and scientific philistine. The rally was no isolated event: even two years later, fears of anti-relativist violence led Einstein to cancel an important lecture.

If it seems remarkable now that the theory of relativity, long recognised as the foundation of modern physics and astronomy, could arouse such political passions, perhaps future generations will marvel at the lengths to which those who challenge climate science were prepared to go. In July last year, Hans Schellnhuber, the founder and director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, who by coincidence works in the same building where Einstein had his office, was the star turn at a conference on climate change at the University of Melbourne. He had just risen to give his keynote speech when a protester in the second row held up a hangman’s noose. The stunt was organised by the Citizens Electoral Council, the local offshoot of the extremist LaRouche movement, which, among other things, has accused Queen Elizabeth of drug-running. The CEC regards action on climate change as “green fascism” and a plot to destroy industry. 

The CEC is at the loony end of opposition to action on climate change on ideological grounds, but the spectrum also includes respected conservatives like Nick Minchin. A few weeks before he helped remove climate change advocate Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal leader, the former senator said that the issue provided the extreme left with “the opportunity to do what they’ve always wanted to do – to sort of de-industrialise the Western world”. 

Most scientists were initially bemused by such attitudes and ignored them: science, to their way of thinking, is not about taking sides. But it has become more serious. Prominent figures in the climate debate, including scientists, economists, politicians and journalists, are now routinely abused and sometimes threatened, mainly by email and particularly after public appearances. “You try to not let it affect you but it still ruins your appetite and ability to sleep on occasions,’’ says an Australian government scientist who prefers to remain unnamed, one of several who have now removed themselves from Facebook as well as the phone book.

read more: http://www.themonthly.com.au/bullies-versus-science-angry-boys-mike-steketee-5626

 

JAMES DELINGPOLE is a UK columnist waging a long personal jihad against wind farms, environmentalists and climate science.

A resident blogger and columnist at London’s Daily TelegraphDelingpole is probably best known for being among the first mainstream columnists to declare – wrongly, of course – that emails illegally hacked from an influential climate research unit showed scientists were trying to con the public.

So he is the perfect person to be appealing for people to donate their cash to the Melbourne-basedInstitute of Public Affairs, a free market think tank which has been working for about 20 years on a campaign to mislead the public about climate science and the impact of carbon pricing.

http://www.independentaustralia.net/2012/environment/ipa-goes-up-the-delingpole-for-cash/

 

Some 20 years ago, climate scientists arrived at the conclusion that the vast acceleration in the emission of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases since the industrial revolution was causing the temperature of the Earth to rise. Almost all agreed that we were facing a genuine crisis. Some came to believe that we were facing a catastrophe deeper than any other in the history of the human species. James Hansen of NASA, perhaps the pre-eminent climate scientist in the world, argues in Storms of My Grandchildren that if over the coming decades and centuries we continue to exploit all the fossil fuels that have lain under the surface of the Earth for hundreds of millions of years – all the coal, oil, natural gas and tar sands that have been or are yet to be discovered – then inevitably all the polar ice on Earth will melt, raising the level of the oceans by 75 metres and turning the planet into an alien, barren and unrecognisable place. He contends we have already passed certain “tipping points”.

So far nations and the international ‘community’ have failed conspicuously to rise to the challenge posed by these dangers. Since the Rio Earth Conference of 1992, which initiated the search for an international agreement, carbon dioxide emissions have risen by 40% or more. At Kyoto in 1997, a first, modest agreement was reached. It did nothing to prevent the pace of emissions increasing. Since the failure of the Copenhagen conference in 2009 to find a replacement for Kyoto, there has been no prospect of any new international agreement. Nothing was expected from the conference held at Rio in June on the 20th anniversary of the initial international gathering. Nothing was achieved. Elizabeth Kolbert of the New Yorker has captured perfectly the world’s response so far to the warning issued by climate scientists 20 years ago: “It may seem impossible to imagine that a technologically advanced society could choose, in essence, to destroy itself, but that is what we are now in the process of doing.”

read more: http://www.themonthly.com.au/how-vested-interests-defeated-climate-science-dark-victory-robert-manne-5853

-------------------------

The general media organisations (and the ABC to a very sad extent) know what butters their bread : money... Most monies come from the industrialisation of our society, itself greased by advertising and promotions that fuels the media itself designed to fuel our consumption for this industrialisation to work... The industrialisation of the world has had major benefits for us all, but it has also developped some dark sides to it......

All is crook when those who profit from maxing this industrialisation to the hilt, actually work hard at making sure we stay in the dark about the problems this industrialisation is presently having and will have in the future...  

For the ABC, the sad part is the desire (ordered by government decree) to appear to be balanced, thus pitting strong emotional porkies versus the boring truth of facts and figures...  

It took fifty years for the dangers of asbestos to be fully recognised, though these dangers were known since the early 1900s... The problem of global warming as a by-product of our industrialisation (CO2, methane and pollutants) are many thousand times more pressing than asbestos or smoking... The whole of the planet's health is at stake.

 

So in order to appear "concerned" by global warming, the media generally will go with timid baby steps around the chamber pot while the industrialists and the economists are like chains and balls dragging the whole lot backward...

To kill off the scientific truth, the denialists first "employ" an army of well trained spruikers (Jones, Bolt, Nova...) — they are trained in the art of cleverly spreading porkies. Some, like Nova, may believe in her ill-thought-out arguments, but people like Jones and Bolt are ignorant and contrary, by choice. Denialists range from a few pseudo-scientists in the discipline of "climate" (some meteorologists), the already mentioned shock-jocks and also a few irate bloggers who multiply themselves with fake ID to make sure the real scientific message on global warming is killed off in every which way possible...

And let's mention Gina... Ghastly.

The denialists use doubt as a primary weapon. They use fake information, false premises, then they use twisted sophisms to end up with "clever" denialist emotional conclusion. Ugly...

We have to fight them... We have to fight them on the beaches, in the atmosphere and in the universe... Time is running out...

But they are strong, cunning and their ignorance gives them an advantage: the power of stirring emotional bullshit, muddying the recordable obvious truth... 

 

 

Read all articles from top...

the challenge of fighting denialists...

 

quiz

http://grist.org/climate-energy/quiz-how-many-climate-denier-attackers-could-you-fight-off/

“Scientific truth” alone is not enough to sway public opinion. We must not stand by in silence while fossil-fuel climate change deniers confuse the public and dissuade our policy makers from taking the urgent actions needed to fight global warming. Join me in the climate war – for the sake of future generations and the planet.

Buy the book: The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines

fighting the denialists

 

it takes less brain power to believe than to know...

ACCORDING to the team of psychological scientists working on the study, led by Stephan Lewandowsky of the University of Western Australia, the main reason that people are more likely to believe false information (for example, that climate change is a hoax) is because it actually takes less brain power to believe a statement is false than to accept it as truth. Finding the truth takes time and effort that people often don’t care enough to spend on particular issues that aren’t of immediate concern.

http://www.independentaustralia.net/2012/environment/why-misinformation-works/

--------------

One does not need to be Einstein to understand this... I have exposed this problem, over and over, on this YD website... It's much easier to say "Global Warming is Crap" rather than spend time and headache-inducing brainpower to understand what is a quite complex and demanding science, in its rigourous observations, yet quite simple in its postulation: "CO2 is a greehouse gas — Humans add CO2 into the atmosphere from carbon that has been sequestered below the Earth surface for millions of years — temperature rises"......

Yet, as I have mentioned before, in a contrary fashion, Einstein did a great job at selling his theory of relativity, which by all means is a far more complex proposition than say "the concept of global warming"... But most of us fake understanding the theory, because it's "fashionable" to "understand" and it underpins a lot of our technologies... 

The quantities of CO2 that can change the earth's atmosphere temperature are quite small and are measured in ppms (parts per million)... Similarly, venom from a blue-ring octopus can kill an adult person in a few minutes is measured in ppb (or parts per billion). One is a poison, the other (CO2) is an excess... Both are dangerous on different scales...

Should the global warming issue not be a "threat" to our carbon over-usage, we would scientifically embrace it with open arms... But it has laid the inconvenient foundations to a major problem that demands a reality check and some mighty "soul" (I don't believe in souls) searching about our humanity's relationship with this planet. The rich and powerful, who profit from carbon, do not want us to do see the future... The religious mobsters who sell us that other place that does not exist in the sky, don't care enough to push the barrow so hard it would make the business mobsters listen up... They actually live in each others pockets...

antarctica is melting...

Australia's chief Antarctic scientist says claims by climate experts about environmental changes in the southern continent are not alarmist.

The Australian Antarctic Division (AAD) told a Senate estimates hearing today "rapid changes" taking place across the icy land mass would have significant impact on global climate.

Changes in ocean flows and shifts in Antarctic ice cap levels were occurring at rates faster than at any other time in history, chief scientist Nick Gales said."That's the part that is the most dramatic about the information we're receiving," he told the hearing.

Scientists were detecting major changes in the circulation of deep, dense salty water off Antarctica.

This water, which drives the circulation of the world's oceans and in turn climate patterns, was reducing, while becoming warmer and less salty.Meanwhile, parts of the Antarctic ice caps were melting at unprecedented rates.

"The findings around changes in Antarctica and the southern oceans are critically important to driving world climate," Dr Gales said."That is the engine room of a large amount of world climate, so changes there are important."

He dismissed suggestions the claims were alarmist, adding scientists were "by definition" sceptics and based their conclusions only on testing data.

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/antarctic-climate-facing-rapid-changes-chief-scientist-20121016-27ohg.html#ixzz29SQPxBRP

and more media ink is wasted on effing lance amstrong...

World’s most environmentally outspoken president forced to resign at gunpoint

Tuesday, we told you that Mohamed Nasheed, president of the climate change-threatened Maldives, stepped down from his office. Wednesday, it became clearer that he was forced to step down — at gunpoint. Tuesday, his aides said that Nasheed was being held against his will and his party, the Maldivian Democratic Party, called the move to oust him a “coup d’etat.”

On Wednesday, Nasheed was able to meet with supporters and,according to the BBC, told reporters: “I was forced to resign at gunpoint. There were guns all around me and they told me they wouldn’t hesitate to use them if I didn’t resign.”

Protesters in the Maldives had been clamoring against Nasheed’s arrest of a judge who had ordered the release of a government critic.

Nasheed has worked as president to raise awareness of climate change issues and the threat it posed to his nation and others. The climate campaigners have rallied to support him: Tuesday night, 350.org asked supporters around the world to tell their leaders to “put diplomatic pressure not the leaders of this coup to avoid violence and work for a peaceful, democratic solution to their conflict.” 350.org’s message said that Nasheed “has been one of 350.org’s strongest allies, and friends, for many years” and that “he needs your support to ensure his safety.”

The climate writer Mark Lynas, who was Nasheed’s climate change adviser for the past two years, wrote in the Guardian:

Those governments of the world that do value democracy and the rule of law should not be under any illusions about what has just taken place. The former dictator Gayoom and his forces never accepted the outcome of the 2008 elections, and their networks of power and influence were increasingly threatened by Nasheed’s campaign against corruption in the judiciary. Indeed, this crisis was sparked by the arrest of senior court judge who had repeatedly refused to prosecute corruption cases in order to protect powerful allies from the former regime.”

http://grist.org/list/worlds-most-environmentally-outspoken-president-forced-to-resign-at-gunpoint/

to somewhere much less predictable...

 

In The Conversation, scientist Gary W Yohe lists some of these recent extremes we’ve been witnessing, including the super-storm Sandy, and suggests that we’re now living in a climate which is transitioning to something for which we don’t have any yardstick from our recent past. This is, argues Yohe, not so much a ‘new normal’ but more a journey to somewhere much less predictable.

Writing for Mother Jones, Chris Mooney pulls together some of the ways that human activities have likely influenced Sandy, such as the unusually high sea temperatures in the Atlantic. ‘Warm oceans are jet fuel for hurricanes,’ writes Mooney.

Also on The Conversation, climate scientist Kevin Trenberth discusses the contribution of rising sea temperatures to Sandy’s muscular gait, while keeping a close eye on his wife and daughter as they evacuate New Jersey.

In an LA Times examination of the role of human-caused climate change in Sandy’s make-up, Trenberth adds that:

‘All weather events are affected by climate change because the environment in which they occur is warmer and moister than it used to be.’

In New York’s financial district, reports have come in of cars floating down Wall St. The next few days are uncertain.

But what you can guarantee is that climate science deniers will seek to downplay the role of climate change in events like Sandy, or in the US droughts, or the floods of recent years in Pakistan, Russia and Australia, or the tumbling of heat records across the US.

Late last week, PBS screened a documentary as part of their Frontline series called “Climate of Doubt” which looked at the ongoing campaign to demonise and misrepresent the science of climate change.

The show used the climate science denying think tank the Heartland Institute’s recent sixth conference on climate change as a hook. The show (watch below) interviewed many of the current protagonists of climate science denial ― the “scientists” and professionals who are paid to carry out this work to confuse and fool the public, intimidate climate scientists and push their own political agenda where fossil fuel corporations can operate with near impunity in a “free market”.

read more: http://www.independentaustralia.net/2012/environment/weather/superstorm-sandy-washes-away-climate-of-doubt/

 

Read all the stories from top...

Note: when writing the articles above, I accidentally misused the word anthropomorphic instead of the word anthropogenic... Please adjust. I will make sure I don't do it again. I cannot change the comments: they have been cemented for posterity as they were writen them. 

 

idiots nonetheless...

 

Myths can spread quickly and widely and are resistant to eradication. Stephan Lewandowsky rebuts recent comments about climate change.

The American healthcare debate in 2009 took a turn towards the surreal when former vice-presidential candidate Sarah Palin claimed on her Facebook page that under president Obama's plan, "death panels" of bureaucrats would decide who would receive medical care and who would be left to die.

Although there was nothing in the plan that would have warranted this concern, the "death panel" myth spread like wildfire, and within a few weeks nearly 90 per cent of Americans had heard of it, with a large proportion believing it to be true.

It didn't seem to matter that independent fact checkers revealed Palin's claim to be false. The myth spread widely and it has proven resistant to eradication.

The rapid spread of misinformation and its subsequent resistance to correction routinely inflicts contemporary societies: Many Americans falsely believed that Weapons of Mass Destruction were found in Iraq after the 2003 invasion; many parents falsely believe that childhood vaccinations are associated with autism; and the myth that president Obama was born outside the US is alive and well in sections of the internet.

Research in cognitive science has identified the factors necessary for a successful rebuttal of misinformation. A simple correction is often insufficient.

http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/4446160.html?WT.svl=theDrum

 

 

 

Gus: unfortunately, even psychological "science" has to work super-hard to make a "successful" rebuttal of misinformation...

We know how hard it is for people to give up drinking or smoking... Giving up misinformation is in the SAME league.

Some people can be persuaded by various means, including repeat of treatment — or repeat of the correct information.

Three of the major problems on this issue are 1) the battle of facts versus emotions...  2) the battle of complicated facts versus inability to comprehend.... and 3) vested interests spreading efficient "comfortable" disinformation.

As I have mentioned before, it is much easier to do a Tony Abbott and claim "global warming is crap" rather than spend days on ends study the problem seriously. It is easier for an Alan Jones to spruik days on ends about global warming being crap and present some falsified pseudoscientific argument from a Lord Monckton to suit the narrative, all presented with an emotive effect of righteousness... It simply is pure lies...

One of our other weapons against disinformation is to treat the disseminators of such with high contempt — and promote the concept that they are idiots — clever idiots — but idiots nonetheless.... And repeat this, ad nauseam...

Alan Jones is an idiot

Tony Abbott is an iddiott

etc...

 

Read articles from top down. Note my accidental misuse of a word as noted in the comment above.

 

frightening opinionated idiots...

Climate change currently kills 400,000 people annually worldwide and unchecked will increase to kill 700,000 people annually by 2030 — so by publishing these people, and artificially prolonging, for its own purposes, a debate long since concluded, media platforms such as The Age effectively materially support this happening. They should be ashamed.

Perhaps the article Facts are boring – we need much more opinionated idiocy,published on the Fairfax opinion platform ‘National Times’ on New Year’s Day, indicates what we can expect from Fairfax’s laugh-a-minute opinion pages in future.

Spooner should also be ashamed but, as with all other deniers I have ever had contact with, Spooner is driven not by logic, but by some combination of emotional and psychological factors that sweep reason to one side.Perhaps we can excuse Spooner for his weakness and compulsions, but there is no excuse for The Age and other media platforms for their disgraceful lack of ethics when they display and consecrate the ravings of such people.

http://www.independentaustralia.net/2013/business/media-2/climate-change-denialism-paedophilia-and-fairfax/

settling a gassy argument...

 

A Saturated Gassy Argument


A guest post by Spencer Weart, in collaboration with Raymond T. Pierrehumbert


The simple physics explanations for the greenhouse effect that you find on the internet are often quite wrong. These well-meaning errors can promote confusion about whether humanity is truly causing global warming by adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. Some people have been arguing that simple physics shows there is already so much CO2 in the air that its effect on infrared radiation is "saturated"— meaning that adding more gas can make scarcely any difference in how much radiation gets through the atmosphere, since all the radiation is already blocked. And besides, isn’t water vapor already blocking all the infrared rays that CO2 ever would?

The arguments do sound good, so good that in fact they helped to suppress research on the greenhouse effect for half a century. In 1900, shortly after Svante Arrhenius published his pathbreaking argument that our use of fossil fuels will eventually warm the planet, another scientist, Knut Ångström, asked an assistant, Herr J. Koch, to do a simple experiment. He sent infrared radiation through a tube filled with carbon dioxide, containing somewhat less gas in total then would be found in a column of air reaching to the top of the atmosphere. That’s not much, since the concentration in air is only a few hundred parts per million. Herr Koch did his experiments in a 30cm long tube, though 250cm would have been closer to the right length to use to represent the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. Herr Koch reported that when he cut the amount of gas in the tube by one-third, the amount of radiation that got through scarcely changed. The American meteorological community was alerted to Ångström’s result in a commentary appearing in the June, 1901 issue of Monthly Weather Review, which used the result to caution "geologists" against adhering to Arrhenius’ wild ideas.

Still more persuasive to scientists of the day was the fact that water vapor, which is far more abundant in the air than carbon dioxide, also intercepts infrared radiation. In the infrared spectrum, the main bands where each gas blocked radiation overlapped one another. How could adding CO2 affect radiation in bands of the spectrum that H2O (not to mention CO2 itself) already made opaque? As these ideas spread, even scientists who had been enthusiastic about Arrhenius’s work decided it was in error. Work on the question stagnated. If there was ever an “establishment” view about the greenhouse effect, it was confidence that the CO2 emitted by humans could not affect anything so grand as the Earth’s climate.

Nobody was interested in thinking about the matter deeply enough to notice the flaw in the argument. The scientists were looking at warming from ground level, so to speak, asking about the radiation that reaches and leaves the surface of the Earth. Like Ångström, they tended to treat the atmosphere overhead as a unit, as if it were a single sheet of glass. (Thus the “greenhouse” analogy.) But this is not how global warming actually works.

What happens to infrared radiation emitted by the Earth’s surface? As it moves up layer by layer through the atmosphere, some is stopped in each layer. To be specific: a molecule of carbon dioxide, water vapor or some other greenhouse gas absorbs a bit of energy from the radiation. The molecule may radiate the energy back out again in a random direction. Or it may transfer the energy into velocity in collisions with other air molecules, so that the layer of air where it sits gets warmer. The layer of air radiates some of the energy it has absorbed back toward the ground, and some upwards to higher layers. As you go higher, the atmosphere gets thinner and colder. Eventually the energy reaches a layer so thin that radiation can escape into space.

What happens if we add more carbon dioxide? In the layers so high and thin that much of the heat radiation from lower down slips through, adding more greenhouse gas molecules means the layer will absorb more of the rays. So the place from which most of the heat energy finally leaves the Earth will shift to higher layers. Those are colder layers, so they do not radiate heat as well. The planet as a whole is now taking in more energy than it radiates (which is in fact our current situation). As the higher levels radiate some of the excess downwards, all the lower levels down to the surface warm up. The imbalance must continue until the high levels get hot enough to radiate as much energy back out as the planet is receiving.

Any saturation at lower levels would not change this, since it is the layers from which radiation does escape that determine the planet’s heat balance. The basic logic was neatly explained by John Tyndall back in 1862: "As a dam built across a river causes a local deepening of the stream, so our atmosphere, thrown as a barrier across the terrestrial [infrared] rays, produces a local heightening of the temperature at the Earth’s surface."

Even a simple explanation can be hard to grasp in all its implications, and scientists only worked those out piecewise. First they had to understand that it was worth the trouble to think about carbon dioxide at all. Didn’t the fact that water vapor thoroughly blocks infrared radiation mean that any changes in CO2 are meaningless? Again, the scientists of the day got caught in the trap of thinking of the atmosphere as a single slab. Although they knew that the higher you went, the drier the air got, they only considered the total water vapor in the column.

The breakthroughs that finally set the field back on the right track came from research during the 1940s. Military officers lavishly funded research on the high layers of the air where their bombers operated, layers traversed by the infrared radiation they might use to detect enemies. Theoretical analysis of absorption leaped forward, with results confirmed by laboratory studies using techniques orders of magnitude better than Ångström could deploy. The resulting developments stimulated new and clearer thinking about atmospheric radiation.

Among other things, the new studies showed that in the frigid and rarified upper atmosphere where the crucial infrared absorption takes place, the nature of the absorption is different from what scientists had assumed from the old sea-level measurements. Take a single molecule of CO2 or H2O. It will absorb light only in a set of specific wavelengths, which show up as thin dark lines in a spectrum. In a gas at sea-level temperature and pressure, the countless molecules colliding with one another at different velocities each absorb at slightly different wavelengths, so the lines are broadened and overlap to a considerable extent. Even at sea level pressure, the absorption is concentrated into discrete spikes, but the gaps between the spikes are fairly narrow and the "valleys" between the spikes are not terribly deep. (see Part II) None of this was known a century ago. With the primitive infrared instruments available in the early 20th century, scientists saw the absorption smeared out into wide bands. And they had no theory to suggest anything different.

Measurements done for the US Air Force drew scientists’ attention to the details of the absorption, and especially at high altitudes. At low pressure the spikes become much more sharply defined, like a picket fence. There are gaps between the H2O lines where radiation can get through unless blocked by CO2 lines. Moreover, researchers had become acutely aware of how very dry the air gets at upper altitudes — indeed the stratosphere has scarcely any water vapor at all. By contrast, CO2 is well mixed all through the atmosphere, so as you look higher it becomes relatively more significant. The main points could have been understood already in the 1930s if scientists had looked at the greenhouse effect closely (in fact one physicist, E.O. Hulbert, did make a pretty good calculation, but the matter was of so little interest that nobody noticed.)

As we have seen, in the higher layers where radiation starts to slip through easily, adding some greenhouse gas must warm the Earth regardless of how the absorption works. The changes in the H2O and CO2 absorption lines with pressure and temperature only shift the layers where the main action takes place. You do need to take it all into account to make an exact calculation of the warming. In the 1950s, after good infrared data and digital computers became available, the physicist Gilbert Plass took time off from what seemed like more important research to work through lengthy calculations of the radiation balance, layer by layer in the atmosphere and point by point in the spectrum. He announced that adding CO2 really could cause a degree or so of global warming. Plass’s calculations were too primitive to account for many important effects. (Heat energy moves up not only by radiation but by convection, some radiation is blocked not by gas but by clouds, etc.) But for the few scientists who paid attention, it was now clear that the question was worth studying. Decades more would pass before scientists began to give the public a clear explanation of what was really going on in these calculations, drawing attention to the high, cold layers of the atmosphere. Even today, many popularizers try to explain the greenhouse effect as if the atmosphere were a single sheet of glass.

In sum, the way radiation is absorbed only matters if you want to calculate the exact degree of warming — adding carbon dioxide will make the greenhouse effect stronger regardless of saturation in the lower atmosphere. But in fact, the Earth’s atmosphere is not even close to being in a state of saturation. With the primitive techniques of his day, Ångström got a bad result, as explained in the Part II . Actually, it’s not clear that he would have appreciated the significance of his result even if he had gotten the correct answer for the way absorption varies with CO2amount. From his writing, it’s a pretty good guess that he’d think a change of absorption of a percent or so upon doubling CO2 would be insignificant. In reality, that mere percent increase, when combined properly with the "thinning and cooling" argument, adds 4 Watts per square meter to the planets radiation balance for doubled CO2. That’s only about a percent of the solar energy absorbed by the Earth, but it’s a highly important percent to us! After all, a mere one percent change in the 280 Kelvin surface temperature of the Earth is 2.8 Kelvin (which is also 2.8 Celsius). And that’s without even taking into account the radiative forcing from all those amplifying feedbacks, like those due to water vapor and ice-albedo.

In any event, modern measurements show that there is not nearly enough CO2 in the atmosphere to block most of the infrared radiation in the bands of the spectrum where the gas absorbs. That’s even the case for water vapor in places where the air is very dry. (When night falls in a desert, the temperature can quickly drop from warm to freezing. Radiation from the surface escapes directly into space unless there are clouds to block it.)

So, if a skeptical friend hits you with the "saturation argument" against global warming, here’s all you need to say: (a) You’d still get an increase in greenhouse warming even if the atmosphere were saturated, because it’s the absorption in the thin upper atmosphere (which is unsaturated) that counts (b) It’s not even true that the atmosphere is actually saturated with respect to absorption by CO2, (c) Water vapor doesn’t overwhelm the effects of CO2 because there’s little water vapor in the high, cold regions from which infrared escapes, and at the low pressures there water vapor absorption is like a leaky sieve, which would let a lot more radiation through were it not for CO2, and (d) These issues were satisfactorily addressed by physicists 50 years ago, and the necessary physics is included in all climate models.

Then you can heave a sigh, and wonder how much different the world would be today if these arguments were understood in the 1920′s, as they could well have been if anybody had thought it important enough to think through.

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/06/a-saturated-gassy-argument/

 

READ ALL ARTICLES FROM TOP DOWN, PLEASE.

 

the science is correct...

Gus: I have long mentioned Einstein's theory of relativity in the debate about global warming... I have long stated that despite Einstein's critics in Germany, he found a voice and respect in the USA, and now Einstein is synonymous with genius — even for the most of conservative minds. I have claimed and still claim with 100 per cent certainty that the great man would be appalled at the way conservative denialists of global warming are behaving... He of all people would chase them cleverly from their temples of greed.

But we're on our own, we are lonely sods — as geniuses have been blended into the privatisation and politicisation of knowledge — to fight this war against deliberate ignorance. The problem of global warming is far more serious than that of paying an extra $100 on an electricity bill today... Global warming will stress this planet beyond belief until it reaches its next balance point. For many humans this will be too late.

----------------------

...

In Britain, suspicions were less politically grounded, but relativity’s subversion of Newton was a sensitive issue, leading Einstein to write an encomium for the great English scientist prior to a lecture tour.

Like Einstein’s opponents, who denied relativity because of its perceived association with progressive politics, conservative climate deniers follow the maxim that “my enemy’s friend is my enemy”. Scientists whose research strengthens the claims of environmentalism must be opposed.

Conservative climate deniers often link their repudiation of climate science to fears that cultural values are under attack from “liberals” and progressives. In Weimar Germany, the threat to the cultural order apparently posed by relativity saw Einstein accused of “scientific dadaism”, after the anarchistic cultural and artistic movement then at its peak. The epithet is revealing, because it reflected anxiety that Einstein’s theory would overthrow the established Newtonian understanding of the world, a destabilisation of the physical world that mirrored the subversion of the social order then underway.

http://www.independentaustralia.net/2013/environment/einstein-climate-change-denial-and-politics/

a bear on thin ice...

 

Attributing a single incident to climate change can be controversial, but Douglas Richardson, head of living collections at the Highland Wildlife Park near Kingussie, said: "It's not just one bear though. There are an increasing number of bears in this condition: they are just not putting down enough fat to survive their summer fast. This particular polar bear is the latest bit of evidence of the impact of climate change."

Ice loss due to climate change is "absolutely, categorically and without question" the cause of falling polar bear populations, said Richardson, who cares for the UK's only publicly kept polar bears. He said 16 years was not particularly old for a wild male polar bear, which usually live into their early 20s. "There may have been some underlying disease, but I would be surprised if this was anything other than starvation," he said. "Once polar bears reach adulthood they are normally nigh on indestructible, they are hard as nails."

Jeff Flocken, at the International Fund for Animal Welfare, said: "While it is difficult to ascribe a single death or act to climate change it couldn't be clearer that drastic and long-term changes in their Arctic habitat threaten the survival of the polar bear. The threat of habitat loss from climate change, exacerbated by unsustainable killing for commercial trade in Canada, could lead to the demise of one of the world's most iconic animals, and this would be a true tragedy."

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/aug/06/starved-polar-bear-record-sea-ice-melt

-----------------------------

Read article at top... Read also : http://www.yourdemocracy.net.au/drupal/node/26870

 

bearing climate change...

 

Polar bear populations are a sensitive topic for the Canadian government, which has faced international criticism for its policies on climate change and for allowing limited hunting of bears, mainly by indigenous communities.

The Canadian environment minister provoked outrage last October when she discounted abundant scientific studies of polar bear decline across the Arctic, saying her brother, a hunter, was having no trouble finding bears. Leona Aglukkaq, an Inuk, spoke of a "debate" about the existence of climate change.

"Scientists latch on to the wildlife in the north to state their case that climate change is happening and the polar bears will disappear and whatnot," she said. "But people on the ground will say the polar bear population is quite healthy. You know, in these regions, the population has increased, in fact. Why are you [saying it's] decreasing?" she told a meeting. "My brother is a full-time hunter who will tell you polar bear populations have increased and scientists are wrong."

Scientists dispute this. One single polar bear population on the western shore of Hudson Bay, for example, has shrunk by nearly 10% to 850 bears in under a decade, according to the latest Canadian government estimate seen by the Guardian.

The rate of decline – and an even sharper drop in the birth and survival rate of young cubs – puts the entire population of western Hudson Bay polar bears at risk of collapse within a matter of years, scientists have warned.

"All indications are that this population could collapse in the space of a year or two if conditions got bad enough," said Andrew Derocher, a polar bear scientist at the University of Alberta.

"In 2020, I think it is still an open bet that we are going to have polar bears in western Hudson Bay."

The latest Canadian government estimates, which have yet to be shared with independent scientists or the public, confirm scientists' fears that the polar bears of the western Hudson Bay have little chance of long-term survival.

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/nov/27/polar-bears-climate-change-canada-hudson-bay/print

 

Like the NEW Australian crappy government, the Canadian government is a fierce disbeliever in climate change... Actually, I think the Canadian government is hoping global warming will improve their nordic winters — but it wont... As well, in one of the articles above, I have stated that the Inuit could find more bears "closer" to their settlements mostly because the bear population had to move closer to land due to lack of ice...

 

See winter storm in the US: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2013/11/27/round-up-east-coast-storm-battering-new-england-some-snow-on-backside/

See also: 

 

October 2013 mean temperatures well above average

October mean temperatures were unusually warm, with a national anomaly 1.43 °C above the 1961–1990 average. This means that Australia has seen 15 consecutive months of warmer-than-average temperatures, with numerous records broken as a result.

This continuation of unusually high spring temperatures has been sufficient to break the national record for the warmest 12-month period again, the third consecutive month in which a new record has been set.

Averaged over the 12 months from November 2012 to October 2013, Australian mean temperatures were 1.30 °C above the 1961–1990 average. This surpasses the records set in the previous two months (+1.25 °C for October 2012 to September 2013 and +1.11 °C for September 2012 to August 2013) and is some 0.22 °C warmer than any 12-month period prior to 2013 (+1.08 °C for February 2005 to January 2006).

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/change/?ref=ftr

NOTE: THESE 15 consecutive months ARE above the NEW average based on the 1961-1991 record... BASED on the 1850-1991 average record, Australia has been approaching 400 months continuously above this OLD average...

 

Please also visit: http://www.yourdemocracy.net.au/drupal/node/27479

See also story at top and all stories below it...

Note: as mentioned earlier, I have accidentally substituted "anthropomorphic" for "anthropogenic" in some of the articles above. It is anthropogenic in regard to the source of global warming — and anthropomorphic in regard to humans applying human traits to animals or things.

 

 

the anti money...

 

Conservative groups may have spent up to $1bn a year on the effort to deny science and oppose action on climate change, according to the first extensive study into the anatomy of the anti-climate effort.

The anti-climate effort has been largely underwritten by conservative billionaires, often working through secretive funding networks. They have displaced corporations as the prime supporters of 91 think tanks, advocacy groups and industry associations which have worked to block action on climate change. Such financial support has hardened conservative opposition to climate policy, ultimately dooming any chances of action from Congress to cut greenhouse gas emissions that are warming the planet, the study found.

“I call it the climate-change counter movement,” said the author of the study, Drexel University sociologist Robert Brulle. “It is not just a couple of rogue individuals doing this. This is a large-scale political effort.”

Brulle's study, published on Friday in the journal Climatic Change, offers the most definitive exposure to date of the political and financial forces blocking American action on climate change. Still, there are big gaps.

It was not always possible to separate funds designated strictly for climate-change work from overall budgets, Brulle said. “Since the majority of the organizations are multiple focus organizations, not all of this income was devoted to climate change activities.”

read more: http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/dec/20/conservative-groups-1bn-against-climate-change

 

Read all articles from top...

 

the cold and the warm...

 

The freezing polar vortex that has gripped the US has extended an abnormally mild winter in Scandinavia and disrupted the seasonal patterns of flora and fauna.

The weather system that brought snow, ice and record low temperaturesto many parts of the United States this week left Iceland, Greenland and Scandinavia much warmer than normal.

On the back of a generally mild winter, there have been reports of bears emerging early from hibernation in Finland, changes in the behaviour of migratory birds off the coast of Sweden and plants appearing earlier than normal in Norway.

Scandinavia and Russia's cold weather during the winter comes from a high-pressure system that keeps warmer, more humid air and low-pressure systems with wind and rain from coming up from the Atlantic Ocean.

The weakening of the jetstream that holds this in place has allowed cold air to spill further south into much of the United States and Canada, while bringing above-average temperatures to parts of Europe.

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/jan/10/polar-vortex-us-mild-weather-scandinavia

 

Global warming is shifting patterns substantially — as predicted by most climate models. Read articles from top.

 

the arguments we don't need to have before it's too late...

 

Say I were to ask you to prove that the dinosaurs were wiped out when an asteroid collided with the Earth 66m years ago, in what is now snappily called the Cretaceous-Paleogene extinction event.

If you were as weirdly obsessed by these catastrophes as I am, you would maybe start by citing the worldwide layer of sediment known as K-Pg boundary, which was first discovered near Gubbio, in Italy, and is thought to be the fallout from a massive explosion. You would mention the soot that is associated with this layer, the site of a huge impact in the Yucatán region of Mexico 66m years ago and, finally, you'd ask what else could have caused the dinosaurs to die out more or less overnight. A sceptic might respond that this is all supposition, evidence tenuously linked to fit a very recent theory: none of it constitutes proof and no one can ever know why the dinosaurs vanished to allow the rise of mammals and the eventual evolution of man.

So you would quote more evidence, such as the presence in the K-Pg layer of iridium, an element rare on Earth but not in asteroids, as well as the altered state of quartz, which can only be made under extremely high pressure, such as is caused by a huge impact of a 10km asteroid. You would mention the long darkness when only ferns grew and the fact that the seas were emptied of all but the most tenacious species.

Ah, but this is still all very hypothetical, the sceptic would say, at which point you might give up and tell him, yes, a spacecraft might have visited Earth and exterminated 75% of the world's species, but you're going with the best available evidence. The sceptic would walk away, satisfied that he had achieved a draw, not from the merit of his argument, but simply because he had not let you convince him.

This is where we are with the climate change deniers. The absolute proof of manmade global warming is unlikely to arrive until it is too late and so the deniers are scrupulously indulged with equal time in the argument, where, taking the part of Little Britain's wheelchair user Andy to our Lou, nothing is ever good enough for them.

read more at: http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/feb/16/climate-change-deniers-put-up-or-shut-up

 

Actually the undeniable proof of human-made global warming is here to be seen. Humans are releasing 3 to 4 per cent EXTRA carbon dioxide per year into the atmosphere. The science can demonstrate that the relationship between higher temperature in the atmosphere and higher concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere are linked by a complex sets of feed-back mechanisms. The natural variations of CO2 in the atmosphere have been measured at between 180 to 300 PPM. The present CO2 concentration in the atmosphere, due to the EXTRA  human-made CO2, has now passed 400 PPM.

How long is a piece of string? How have the denialists managed to steal both ends of the string? The media in general and Mr Murdoch in particular have supported the denialist option through supporting scientifically ignoramus moronic politicians. The debate has never been had, as the terms have been "framed" by the highest idiotic common denominator by the people with the greater ability of deceit. 

Deceit and denialism go hand in hand and the truth is always a poor relative of lies, the truth often placed in prison by the brilliant porkyists...

The day we start to feel the heat will be too late to stop it, but never too late to stop the damage being catastrophic.

Read articles from top.

 

pests, creating deserts...

In this line of blogs I mention the damage done by goats... Now:

 

 

The humble goat, an animal that has long been seen predominantly as a pest, is helping farmers turn a profit even in some of the country's most arid areas.

Katie and Ed Davies run Fairmount Station, south of Wilcannia, a town that straddles the famous Darling River in western New South Wales.

"The goat is an amazing animal," Ms Davies said.

"We've gone from having a pest animal into a resource now. It is a lean, green source of protein and you can't ask for better than that."

It is the couple's second year on the land after years striving to raise the funds to achieve their goal of buying a rangeland station.

Ed spent a decade working underground in the mines of Broken Hill, a two-hour drive west, and also runs an earthmoving business for additional off-farm income.

Katie still spends the weekdays in Broken Hill, employed in the mining industry.

But goats are the main focus of their enterprise.

read more: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-21/goats-helping-farmers-turn-profits-in-arid-areas/5539152

--------------------------

The goat is an amazing animal. when it feeds it eats roots as well as the rest of plants... Goats, I have claimed and still claim, are responsible for creating and maintaining many deserts.

 

fighting ignorance of the dorks...

... some people believe in phenomena rejected by science, like chemtrails, but deny real problems demonstrated by massive amounts of scientific evidence, like climate change. Dr David Suzuki comments.

Last year, I wrote about geoengineering as a strategy to deal with climate change and carbon dioxide emissions. That drew comments from people who confuse this scientific process with the unscientific theory of 'chemtrails'. Some also claimed the column supported geoengineering, which it didn't.

The reaction got me wondering why some people believe in phenomena rejected by science, like chemtrails, but deny real problems demonstrated by massive amounts of scientific evidence, like climate change.

Chemtrails believers claim governments around the world are in cahoots with secret organizations to seed the atmosphere with chemicals and materials – aluminum salts, barium crystals, biological agents, polymer fibres, and so on – for a range of nefarious purposes. These include controlling weather for military purposes, poisoning people for population or mind control and supporting secret weapons programs based on the High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program, or HAARP.

Scientists have tested and used cloud and atmospheric seeding for weather modification and considered them as ways to slow global warming. With so many unknowns and possible unintended consequences, these practices have the potential to cause harm. But the chemtrails conspiracy theory is much broader, positing that military and commercial airlines are involved in constant massive daily spraying that is harming the physical and mental health of citizens worldwide.

I don't have space to get into the absurdities of belief in a plot that would require worldwide collusion between governments, scientists and airline company executives and pilots to amass and spray unimaginable amounts of chemicals from altitudes of 10,000 metres or more. I'm a scientist, so I look at credible science — and there is simply none for the existence of chemtrails. They're condensation trails, formed when hot, humid air from jet exhaust mixes with colder low-vapour-pressure air. This, of course, comes with its own environmental problems.

But what interests me is the connection between climate change denial and belief in chemtrails. Why do so many people accept a theory for which there is no scientific evidence, while rejecting a serious and potentially catastrophic phenomenon that can be easily observed and for which overwhelming evidence has been building for decades?

To begin, climate change denial and chemtrails theories are often conspiracy-based.

 A study by researchers at the University of Western Australia found

'...endorsement of a cluster of conspiracy theories ... predicts rejection of climate science as well as the rejection of other scientific findings.'
Many deniers see climate change as a massive plot or hoax perpetrated by the world's scientists and scientific institutions, governments, the UN, environmentalists and sinister forces to create a socialist world government — or something.

Not all go to such extremes. Some accept climate change is occurring but deny humans are responsible.

Still, it doesn't seem rational to deny something so undeniable!

In a Bloomberg article, author and Harvard Law School professor Cass R. Sunstein points to three psychological barriers to accepting climate change that may also help explain why it's easier for people to believe in chemtrails — people look to readily available examples when assessing danger, focus 'on risks or hazards that have an identifiable perpetrator', and pay more attention to immediate threats than long-term ones.


Researchers Ezra Markowitz and Azim Shariff of the University of Oregon Psychology and Environmental Studies departments add a few more, including that human-caused climate change 'provokes self-defensive biases' and its politicization 'fosters ideological polarization'.

People who subscribe to unbelievable conspiracy theories may feel helpless, so they see themselves as victims of powerful forces — or as heroes standing up to those forces. Whether it's to deny real problems or promulgate imaginary ones, it helps reinforce a worldview that is distrustful of governments, media, scientists and shadowy cabals variously referred to as bankstersglobal elites, the Illuminati or the New World Order.

The problem is that science denial is, in the case of chemtrails, a wacky distraction and, in the case of climate change denial, a barrier to addressing an urgent, critical problem.

Science is rarely 100 per cent certain, but it's the best tool we have for coming to terms with our actions and their consequences, and for finding solutions to problems.

The science is clear: human-caused climate change is the most pressing threat to humanity, and we must work to resolve it. We don't have time for debunked conspiracy theories.

With contributions from David Suzuki Foundation Senior Editor Ian Hanington. Learn more at www.davidsuzuki.org.

see more: http://www.independentaustralia.net/environment/environment-display/a-tale-of-two-conspiracy-theories-chemtrails-and-climate-change-denial,6792

 

 

read from top...

awakening the possum...

 

A 16-minute video of U.S. Senator Sheldon Whitehouse's speech to Congress is the most sobering evidence yet of the threat to our very existence by the powerful oligarchs behind the apparatus of lies that is the Climate Denial Beast.

ALL THROUGH 2014, the hottest year on record, a junior U.S. Senator from Rhode Island (Democrat) continued to ramp up the heat on climate deniers. Sheldon Whitehouse has delivered a “scorcher” on climate change in each of the 83 weeks that Congress has been in session since he won the seat in 2007. But no speech more relevant to Australia given our own place in the shadowy global denialist web was his dissection of the Climate Denial Beast.

Skilfully laying bare the innards of the beast, Whitehouse names its parts: the 91 conservative think tanks (or phoney “front” groups), media outlets, etc. that make up the propaganda machine and the source of the dark money flowing through its veins – the 140-odd “foundations”. Sound familiar? It should. The same beast funded by similar vested interests roams at large here in Australia (led by our own “climate sceptic factory” the Institute of Public Affairs), just as it does in the U.K.

A 16-minute video of Whitehouse’s speech is the most sobering evidence yet of the threat to our very existence by powerful oligarchs. If you watch nothing else this weekend, make sure you watch this and share it around.

read more: https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/the-climate-denial-beast,7288

 

Read from top...

 

framing the science into a debate...

Shortly after part one of the latest IPCC report came out back in September 2013, scientists gathered at the Royal Society in London to discuss the 1,552-page opus like a bunch of gossips around the latest People Magazine. Journalist Leo Hickman was at the two-day conference and, as he writes in this month’s Nature Climate Change, recalls the U.K. chief scientific advisor at one point standing in front of the crowd and saying, “Science is not finished until it’s communicated.”

Indeed, as complicated as climate science is, the problem of how to communicate said science can sometimes seem even more complicated — which is a pretty big problem, considering that the fate of our species rests on how well we understand this stuff.

So to get a sense of how the media’s doing with its coverage of climate change, a group of researchers from the University of Exeter (plus one dude from the University of Colorado-Boulder) decided to assess how various news outlets in both the U.S. and the U.K. covered the latest 3-part IPCC report (parts two and three came out in March and April of 2014, respectively).

Here’s the short version of their results: The U.K. had way more coverage than the U.S.; both countries appeared to lose interest by the third installment of the report; the Guardian was the overall shining star, which is maybe not surprising given its recent declaration of war on climate change; news outlets are drawn to dramatic narratives (but isn’t this all just one big dramatic narrative?) and human interest angles (ditto); and there’s been a notable lack of interest in the media on how climate change will impact human health.

The researchers looked specifically at stories that came out during the two weeks surrounding each of the three releases. They assessed both the amount of coverage and the content of the coverage, which they refer to as its “frame.”

The possible frames were: settled science (SS), political or ideological struggle (PIS), role of science (ROS), uncertain science (US), disaster (D), security (S), morality and ethics (ME), opportunity (O), economics (E), and health (H).

read more: http://grist.org/science/these-scientists-studied-journalists-covering-science-whoa-meta/

 

Read from top

the turdy government is still in denial mode...

 

A group of farmers who travelled to Canberra as part of a climate change advocacy campaign were disappointed with the response from Coalition members of parliament.

The group were there to promote Earth Hour, which will aim to raise awareness for the impact of climate change on farmers and food production this Saturday.

Earth Hour is an annual event in which people around the world turn out their lights for climate change.

Over the course of two days, the farmers met with MPs from different parties, as well as independents, to share their personal experiences of working on the land, and the changes in temperature and rainfall variability they had witnessed.

Queensland producer and Dairy Farmer of the Year Greg Dennis said he and his peers were generally well received in meetings during the visit.

But Mr Dennis said it was during a meeting with Coalition members on Thursday that they met resistance to the idea of taking more action on climate change.

He said the farmers faced more opposition on their climate change message during the Coalition meeting than in any other.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-03-27/farmers-disappointed-over-resistance-on-climate-action/6351572

 

scientists are really shitting in their pants...

On this site I have quite a few times referred to scientists being scare of what is happening to the climate. Mostly because we have not seen anything yet... we are not paying attention. We don't want to know... Our leaders are cads, psychopaths, capitalists with no desire to learn anything contrary to their doctrine of "growth is good, greed is good"... All crap...

 

 

From Rod Dreher:

 

 

I read a couple of long pieces last night at bedtime that were scary but illuminating, and cast reflections on our own chief cultural crisis in the West. This requires some unpacking.

First, John H. Richardson’s piece in Esquire about trauma and depression among climate scientists is a must-read. It profiles top scientists working on the global warming issue, and how they deal with their intense depression over what they believe is coming, and the world’s failure to take their warnings seriously. The sub-headline sums it up: “Things are worse than we think, but they can’t really talk about it.” Look:

"For more than thirty years, climate scientists have been living a surreal existence. A vast and ever-growing body of research shows that warming is tracking the rise of greenhouse gases exactly as their models predicted. The physical evidence becomes more dramatic every year: forests retreating, animals moving north, glaciers melting, wildfire seasons getting longer, higher rates of droughts, floods, and storms—five times as many in the 2000s as in the 1970s. In the blunt words of the 2014 National Climate Assessment, conducted by three hundred of America’s most distinguished experts at the request of the U. S. government, human-induced climate change is real—U. S. temperatures have gone up between 1.3 and 1.9 degrees, mostly since 1970—and the change is already affecting “agriculture, water, human health, energy, transportation, forests, and ecosystems.” But that’s not the worst of it. Arctic air temperatures are increasing at twice the rate of the rest of the world—a study by the U. S. Navy says that the Arctic could lose its summer sea ice by next year, eighty-four years ahead of the models—and evidence little more than a year old suggests the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is doomed, which will add between twenty and twenty-five feet to ocean levels. The one hundred million people in Bangladesh will need another place to live and coastal cities globally will be forced to relocate, a task complicated by economic crisis and famine—with continental interiors drying out, the chief scientist at the U. S. State Department in 2009 predicted a billion people will suffer famine within twenty or thirty years. And yet, despite some encouraging developments in renewable energy and some breakthroughs in international leadership, carbon emissions continue to rise at a steady rate, and for their pains the scientists themselves—the cruelest blow of all—have been the targets of an unrelenting and well-organized attack that includes death threats, summonses from a hostile Congress, attempts to get them fired, legal harassment, and intrusive discovery demands so severe they had to start their own legal-defense fund, all amplified by a relentless propaganda campaign nakedly financed by the fossil-fuel companies. Shortly before a pivotal climate summit in Copenhagen in 2009, thousands of their e-mail streams were hacked in a sophisticated espionage operation that has never been solved—although the official police investigation revealed nothing, an analysis by forensics experts traced its path through servers in Turkey and two of the world’s largest oil producers, Saudi Arabia and Russia."

 

 

Read more: http://www.theamericanconservative.com/dreher/the-crises-we-dont-see-islam-global-warming-metaphysics/

 

Gus: On this site early in 2005, I postulated that the poles would be warming faster than the equatorial region. This would leads to a variety of "climate change" in a global warming conditions. Some serious calculations of such changes done on super computers have led some scientists to "shit in their pants"...

By 2040, the climatic conditions will start to flip. Gus own calculations and estimates have placed this flip at 2032. In the most conservative estimates, the flip will have been in full swing by 2057... Now, all these figures are not picked out of thin air. The climatic "flips" does not mean that the pole will be like the equator and the equator like the present pole... 

The warming will become obvious to our senses. Weather patterns will be totally out of whack. Winters could become like summers and summers like hell... Storms could become super-powerful and far more frequent... The list of traumatic events will be beyond belief. Floods, drought, storms, snap cold, warm bubbles, acceleration of the rising of the oceans. Extinction. trouble...

 

Read from top...

the nature of the beast...

 

In private conversations, many climate scientists express far greater concern at the progression of global warming and its consequences than they do in public, writes Dr Andrew Glikson.

In an article titled When the End of Human Civilization Is Your Day Job, a reference to a study by the University of Bristol cites, "Climate scientists have been so distracted and intimidated by the relentless campaign against them that they tend to avoid any statements that might get them labelled 'alarmists', retreating into a world of charts and data."

An analogy comes to mind of a medical team advising distressed relatives of the prognosis of a cancer patient, indicating a possible remission should the patient cease smoking. Some of the relatives plunge into depression but some criticise and attack the doctors, aided and abetted by the tobacco industry.

It is not uncommon to hear people criticising climate scientists for not telling them more about the climate, although when they are told, many recoil.

By contrast, in private conversations many climate scientists express far greater concern at the progression of global warming and its consequences than they do in public.

So why don't many scientists talk more directly to the public?

There is more than one answer to this question.

For one, they do. A number of prominent climate scientists, mostly representing the scientific consensus on climate change documented by the IPCC, have tried their best to convey the message in public forums. These scientists are mostly shunned by the conservative media which commonly offers platforms for those who do not accept the scientific evidence and the basic laws of nature.

read more: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-01-29/glikson-the-dilemma-of-a-climate-scientist/7123246

 

Since 2005, this site has been relentless at exposing that "scientists are shitting in their pants" for what they really know about global warming. These scientists though are afraid of the MMMMM (the Murdoch Mediocre Mass Media de Mierda) which rules the communications in the Western English world. They also are annoyed at other scientists who, paid by the coal and other fossil fuel industries, combat the notion of global warming with rubbish scientific nonsense and glib sentences such as "global warming is crap".

Not only that, most politicians are ignoramuses of the real sciences and will go for the least that can be done or even less with great fanfare about spending money — of course in the wrong places, like paying their mates to pollute "less" by fiddling the books. 

Bob Carter, one of the main denialist, died recently. He "was paid a monthly fee of $1,667 (USD) "as part of a program to pay 'high-profile individuals who regularly and publicly counter the alarmist [anthropogenic global warming] message by the Heartland Institute", which itself is financed by big business and rich individuals — mostly making money from fossil fuel industries.

Now I have nothing against anyone questioning the validity of the science of global warming and the propoment of anthropogenic warming do that every day. They question the validity of their observations — and the more they compute and challenge themselves, the more afraid they are of the result: WE ARE IN SHIT-HOT TROUBLE.

 

Read article from top and those posted in 2005. Gus Leonisky has been on the case since 1979.

 

he may have a nobel prize but he still is an idiot...

 

As part of the 62nd Lindau Nobel Laureate Meeting, Giaever referred to agreement with the evidence of climate change as a "religion" and commented on the significance of the apparent rise in temperature when he stated, "What does it mean that the temperature has gone up 0.8 degrees [Kelvin/Celsius]? Probably nothing." Referring to the selection of evidence in his presentation, Giaever stated "I pick and choose when I give this talk just the way the previous speaker (Mario Molina) picked and chose when he gave his talk." Giaever concluded his presentation with a pronouncement: "Is climate change pseudoscience? If I’m going to answer the question, the answer is: absolutely."[15][16]

Giaever is currently a science advisor at The Heartland Institute.[17]

-----------------------

 

Giaever is not a climate scientist. He may understand things about "holes" (tunnels) in solids and semi-conductors but he understands zilch, nada, nothing about the complexity of global warming which his "next door neighbour", Sven Arrhenius (Swedish), devised the calculation of, 120 years ago. There is no religious "belief" in the scientific observations of global warming. And 0.8 degrees (Kelvin or Celsius which is the same difference, except different point of origin) is a massive amount of EXTRA energy on the surface of the planet, even if Giaever thinks it's peanuts. But what we have here is a process, already started, that is going to take the surface temperature of this planet beyond 9 degrees Celsius extra to what we have now in the near future, say a couple of century or less. 

Giaever is an idiot with a Nobel Prize. Congratulations.

 

fighting the denialist idiots such as exxon...

 

Pressure is mounting on ExxonMobil to explain why the oil giant funded climate denial around the world years after its own scientists established global warming was real.

Exxon has a 
long history of funding climate denial and last September it was revealed that it did so despite a full scientific knowledge about the impacts of manmade climate change in the 1970s’ and ‘80s.

This 
prompted the New York Attorney General to subpoena ExxonMobil to “determine whether the company lied to the public about the risks of climate change or to investors about how those risks might hurt the oil business.” A similar investigation has also been launched in California.

These revelations tell us what Exxon knew. The investigations in New York and California are asking ‘what did Exxon do?’

Exxon in the EU

So, while the oil giant has been getting a lot of heat in the U.S. for funding climate denial, this 
DeSmog UK investigation takes these questions across the Atlantic, and asks: what has ExxonMobil been up to in Europe?

The past 10 years are pretty murky when it comes to deciphering ExxonMobil’s climate denial activities in Europe.

In 2007, the oil giant pledged to stop funding climate denial groups in response to pressure from shareholder activists. However, eight years later the company was found to have given more than $2.3m (£1.7m) to an American lobbying group and members of Congress that deny climate change and block efforts to tackle the issue.

It begs the question: has ExxonMobil been up to the same tricks in Europe?

The last time a full analysis of Exxon’s ties to European climate denial think tanks was done was in 2006 by transparency watchdogs Corporate Europe Observatory, the year before Exxon pledged to stop funding such groups.

In January, DeSmog UK revealed that Exxon spent at least £5.6m in 2014 on EU lobby efforts and corporate donations. The oil giant has also donated more than £2.36m to 15 of the top universities in the UK over the past five years. Now we map the various European groups which are tied to Exxon.

2014 Groups

According to ExxonMobil’s latest entry for 2014 in the voluntary EU Transparency Register, it is a member of more than a dozen trade associations, think tanks and lobby groups. Many focus on energy and climate policy with some having a reputation for opposing climate action.

Two of these groups also have close ties helping the tobacco industry’s campaign against the science confirming health impacts from its products. The tobacco industry is notorious for its playbook for stalling control measures on the industry – a large feature of this was funding scientists to cast doubt on the mainstream scientific consensus. Sound familiar? ExxonMobil is currently being investigated for its climate denial efforts in both New York State andCalifornia.

More specifically, ExxonMobil was a member of at least five European think tanks in 2014 according to its latest voluntary lobby register entry. Prior to that it’s a bit hazier, so let’s start with the most recent:

Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS)

This think tank was originally set up to deal primarily with issues related to the European integration in the early 1980s.

On climate change, its website describes its main priorities as carbon markets and emissions trading as well as international negotiations. It reads: “The focus of our research is on the design of EU climate change policies to ensure the progressive engagement of the EU’s main international partners. The key challenge is to think about howEU initiatives… could foster the involvement of the broadest possible number of countries.”

CEPS most recent lobby spend is for 2013, when it declared it spent no more than £7,600 (€9,999). The main EUpolicies it’s interested in include TTIP and Energy 2030 along with energy, climate change, and regulatory policies.

This past March, CEPS invited William Colton, Vice President of corporate strategic planning at Exxon, to explain to “Brussels” how ExxonMobil views the future of energy. Unfortunately for Exxon it got some serious push-back by experts in the audience.

Annual corporate membership ranges from £4,562 to £13,685 (€6,000 to €18,000) depending on the company’s size. But if you’re part of the “inner circle corporate membership” this will cost you £22,809 (€30,000).

European Policy Centre (EPC)

The
 EPC describes itself as an independent think tankt that “supports European integration, with a multi-constituency membership”. It has a pretty extensive membership list which, beyond Exxon, also includes Chevron, Statoil, Edelman, Ikea, Facebook, and Google. The annual membership fee for a multinational corporation is £7,603 (€10,000).

The think tank spent between £1.71 and £1.9m (€2.25m – €2.5m) in 2014 lobbying the EU commission. Among its many listed interests you can find energy, climate action and the environment as well as agriculture, education, and public health.

This is one group that has ties to the tobacco industry. In January 2010, a report revealed that in the 1990s EPChelped tobacco companies, as well as other industry groups, to lobby to increase “the likelihood that the EU will produce policies that advance the interests of major corporations, including those that produce products damaging to health, rather than in the interests of its citizens.”

As documents show, British American Tobacco approached EPC on the issue. The EPC then formed an organisation called the Risk Assessment Forum.

This was essentially a front group through which Big Tobacco and other corporations lobbied for 
EU policies to incorporate rigorous impact assessments – these assign monetary values to the costs and benefits of a particular policy and are criticised for their inability of assigning easily measurable values to fundamental impacts such as lives lost or harmed compared to business impacts. BAT believed incorporating such assessments would weaken or eliminate the introduction of public smoking restrictions and those against tobacco advertising.

During the 1990s, the EPC also had close ties to the now-defunct climate sceptic think tank, the European Science and Environment Forum. You can read DeSmog UK’s account on how this climate sceptic think tank came into being and what it did to attack the science here.

Friends of Europe

This think tank has a broad focus to
 promote “new thinking” on political, economic and environmental issues in Europe. Corporate membership costs £1,558 (€2,050) per year.

In 2014, it declared a lobby spend of less than £7,600 (€9,999). Among its listed policy interests you can find climate action, environment and energy as well as health, education, and single markets.

ExxonMobil has sponsored a couple of the think tank’s events on energy. For example, in 2013 it sponsored the European Policy Summit co-hosted by Friends of Europe and where ExxonMobil executives were among the speakers. You can read all about it in the Summit report summary: A New EU Energy Policy for the 21st Century.

More recently, Exxon’s name is also plastered on a spring 2015 report on Europe’s Energy Outlook: The race against the clock based on that year’s European Policy Summit attended by Exxon.

CERA

This entry was pretty obscure on Exxon’s registry as the oil giant prefers to name all organisations by acronym rather than their full title.

However, a separate Austrian petroleum company, OMV Aktiengesellschaft, also lists itself as a member of CERA on the EU lobby registry, except it took the time to spell out the full titles for each of the organisations it declared membership to.

This shows that CERA stands for the Cambridge Energy Research Associates – an international energy consultancy operating under the parent company IHS (Information Handling Services). CERA specialises in advising governments and private companies on energy markets, geopolitics, industry trends, and strategy.

Exxon has repeatedly been a ‘strategic partner’ of the annual IHS CERAweek event, including in 2014. And last year, Exxon CEO Rex Tillerson gave a keynote address at the conference where he spoke of the environmental benefits of natural gas and the opportunities in the Arctic.

Exxon also helped fund at least one of 
CERA's research projects – a 2006 report entitled Modernizing Oil and Gas Reserves Disclosures. This report was then sent by CERA to Florence Harmon, Acting Secretary Securities and Exchange Commission in Washington D.C. in September 2008.

Council for Multilateral Business Diplomacy

Like 
CERA, this Geneva-based group also seemed pretty mysterious. At first. It does not have a lobby register entry and much of the content on its original website – as well as the new one the first redirects you to – is password protected. But it seems this group has pretty serious connections with top officials, and it focuses a lot on climate change. It’s also relatively small, with just 22 members in 2016.

The organisation was established in 2007. According to its LinkedIn description, this group “provides a forum for informal dialogue on global policy issues between representatives of multinational enterprises and international organizations… It is designed to bring business together with the many institutions and international organizations based in Europe that directly affect the commercial and regulatory environment for international business.”

ExxonMobil has been a member since 2008 according to the Council’s annual reports. That year Council members were able to be briefed by, and discuss climate, energy and environment issues with, senior officials of the World Health Organisation, the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the World Meteorological Organization, and the OECD.

In 2010, the Council hosted a luncheon meeting with Dr Renate Christ, Secretary of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, following the 2009 Copenhagen climate summit. As its annual report describes: “Dr Christ gave useful insights on the 2009 Copenhagen Summit and the IPCC work plan for its next assessment report and special studies on the carbon cycle, sea level changes, agricultural practices, housing and ethics.”

http://www.desmog.uk/2016/02/10/here-are-european-think-tanks-tied-exxon-2014

 

see also: larry marshall is an idiot ignoramus with patents... in the family is in denial... and want the bugger dead as soon as possible to save cash...

and 

a puff piece from the idiot destroying the CSIRO... in the hospital you don't want to end up in...